Sat, Feb 29, 2020·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Pittsburgh Penguins 0, San Jose Sharks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 010 | 011 | 09 | 030 |
| SJS | 111 | 28 | 213 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:48SJSEvander KaneGWGAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 11:12SJSTimo MeierAssists: Marcus Sorensen, Mario Ferraro · Snap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 14:15SJSJoel KellmanAssists: Marcus Sorensen · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–3
- P3 6:14SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Mario Ferraro, Evander Kane · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–4
- P3 16:01SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Timo Meier, Tim Heed · Backhand, 0.03 xG0–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:21SJSMario Ferraro: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:15SJSEvander Kane: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 4:39PITPatrick Marleau: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:30SJSMario Ferraro: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:05PITMarcus Pettersson: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:56SJSRadim Simek: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:56PITPatric Hornqvist: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:01PITPatric Hornqvist: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kellman won the faceoff against Malkin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Rodrigues – Tanev11:43
xG 0.57–0.02 (96%)attempts 19–4goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – McCann – Simon6:26
xG 0.12–0.17 (43%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Sheary – McCann2:04
xG 0.00–0.27 (1%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Crosby – Zucker – Sheary10:50
xG 0.02–0.55 (3%)attempts 7–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Pettersson14:50
xG 0.44–0.38 (54%)attempts 18–16goals 0–2
- Ruhwedel – Riikola10:38
xG 0.38–0.80 (33%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Letang15:07
xG 0.19–1.16 (14%)attempts 11–22goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSorensen – Gambrell – Kellman10:51
xG 1.07–0.28 (79%)attempts 16–13goals 1–0
- Thornton – Labanc – Meier9:04
xG 0.52–0.27 (66%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Gregor10:33
xG 0.46–0.29 (61%)attempts 10–11goals 2–0
- Noesen – Suomela – Bergmann7:55
xG 0.10–0.15 (41%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Simek15:57
xG 1.77–0.29 (86%)attempts 19–14goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Ferraro13:53
xG 0.45–0.51 (47%)attempts 15–21goals 2–0
- Heed – Middleton7:49
xG 0.06–0.24 (21%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).