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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2020·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, San Jose Sharks 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 74% of the time.

SJS winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Kane, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Meier, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 1:17Shot by Ferraro, saved by Campbell
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Holl, saved by Jones
  6. P1 2:13Shot by Suomela, saved by Campbell
  7. P1 3:11Gregor: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burns, Couture, Kane, Gregor, Simek · TOR Barrie, Marincin, Gauthier, Engvall, Malgin

  8. P1 3:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones4v5
  9. P1 4:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Jones4v5
  10. P1 4:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Jones4v5
  11. P1 5:09Shot by Spezza, saved by Jones4v5
  12. P1 6:08Dermott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Heed, Meier, Gregor · TOR Clifford, Holl, Engvall, Dermott, Matthews

  13. P1 6:22Shot by Burns, saved by Campbell5v4
  14. P1 6:36Shot by Kane, saved by Campbell5v4
  15. P1 6:38Goal by Kane (Burns, Couture)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Couture, Kane, Meier · TOR Marincin, Holl, Hyman, Marner

  16. P1 6:59Shot by Davidson, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 7:31Shot by Tavares, saved by Jones
  18. P1 9:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones
  19. P1 10:02Shot by Clifford, saved by Jones
  20. P1 12:17Shot by Dermott, saved by Jones
  21. P1 13:26Shot by Engvall, saved by Jones
  22. P1 14:00Shot by Marincin, saved by Jones
  23. P1 14:10Shot by Clifford, saved by Jones
  24. P1 15:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones
  25. P1 16:50Shot by Heed, saved by Campbell
  26. P1 18:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Jones
  27. P1 18:15Shot by Gregor, saved by Campbell
  28. P1 19:07Shot by Vlasic, saved by Campbell
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:40Shot by Couture, saved by Campbell
  32. P2 1:04Shot by Simek, saved by Campbell
  33. P2 2:08Shot by Meier, saved by Campbell
  34. P2 2:29Shot by Couture, saved by Campbell
  35. P2 2:48Goal by Matthews (Marincin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Couture, Kane, Gregor, Ferraro · TOR Barrie, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  36. P2 3:36Shot by Kellman, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 3:52Shot by Noesen, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 3:54Goal by Suomela (Noesen, Karlsson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Noesen, Karlsson, Simek, Suomela · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Kerfoot, Nylander

  39. P2 4:55Shot by Thornton, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 4:59Shot by Meier, saved by Campbell
  41. P2 5:48Shot by Kane, saved by Campbell
  42. P2 8:15Shot by Ferraro, saved by Campbell
  43. P2 8:19Holl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Couture, Kane, Gregor, Ferraro · TOR Holl, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  44. P2 8:22Shot by Burns, saved by Campbell5v4
  45. P2 9:58Shot by Marner, saved by Jones5v4
  46. P2 10:00Shot by Hyman, saved by Jones5v4
  47. P2 11:44Shot by Simek, saved by Campbell
  48. P2 12:44Shot by Meier, saved by Campbell
  49. P2 12:51Shot by Simek, saved by Campbell
  50. P2 12:59Shot by Meier, saved by Campbell
  51. P2 13:25Shot by Ferraro, saved by Campbell
  52. P2 17:09Shot by Rosen, saved by Jones
  53. P2 17:27Goal by Marner (Matthews, Rosen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Sorensen, Gregor, Simek, Kellman · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  54. P2 17:53Gregor: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Couture, Kane, Gregor, Ferraro · TOR Holl, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  55. P2 18:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones4v5
  56. P2 19:21Shot by Kane, saved by Campbell4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:21Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  60. P3 1:50Shot by Sorensen, saved by Campbell
  61. P3 2:36Shot by Clifford, saved by Jones
  62. P3 5:46Shot by Suomela, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 5:48Goal by Noesen (Suomela)+27 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Noesen, Gregor, Ferraro, Suomela · TOR Holl, Gauthier, Engvall, Dermott, Malgin

  64. P3 6:19Shot by Marincin, saved by Jones
  65. P3 6:38Goal by Kane (Vlasic)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Couture, Kane, Gambrell, Simek · TOR Barrie, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  66. P3 6:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Jones
  67. P3 7:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Jones
  68. P3 9:55Shot by Gauthier, saved by Jones
  69. P3 11:25Shot by Meier, saved by Campbell
  70. P3 11:50Ferraro: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Couture, Kane, Karlsson, Ferraro · TOR Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  71. P3 13:42Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jones4v5
  72. P3 14:10Shot by Kane, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 15:26Shot by Couture, saved by Campbell
  74. P3 16:28Shot by Kellman, saved by Campbell
  75. P3 19:03Goal by Simek, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Kane, Noesen, Simek · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, Rosen

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final