Sun, Mar 8, 2020·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 2, Chicago Blackhawks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 07 | 110 | 19 | 226 |
| CHI | 07 | 013 | 09 | 029 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:41STLRobert BortuzzoGWGAssists: Brayden Schenn, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P3 5:37STLAlex PietrangeloAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Sammy Blais · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 13:20CHIKirby Dach: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:14STLSammy Blais: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:36STLIvan Barbashev: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:57STLIvan Barbashev: Holding2 min
- P2 14:59STLOskar Sundqvist: Elbowing2 min
- P2 14:59STLOskar Sundqvist: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:59CHIDrake Caggiula: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:59STLVince Dunn: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:59STLMackenzie MacEachern: Misconduct10 min
- P2 14:59CHIKirby Dach: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:08CHIDominik Kubalik: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Barbashev
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Schwartz – Blais9:19
xG 0.71–0.34 (68%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Sundqvist – MacEachern – Barbashev7:19
xG 0.33–0.08 (81%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Sanford7:42
xG 0.29–0.21 (58%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Steen – Bozak – Thomas5:29
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGunnarsson – Pietrangelo11:26
xG 1.01–0.28 (78%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Dunn3:19
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Dunn6:09
xG 0.10–0.09 (53%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrincat – Caggiula – Dach3:52
xG 0.28–0.15 (65%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Toews – Saad – Kubalik9:13
xG 0.40–0.30 (56%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Carpenter – Highmore – Kampf6:33
xG 0.11–0.14 (43%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Dach3:41
xG 0.09–0.23 (28%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Boqvist7:41
xG 0.35–0.11 (75%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Seeler – Koekkoek2:08
xG 0.09–0.06 (59%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Maatta – Koekkoek8:13
xG 0.19–0.19 (50%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).