Thu, Jan 14, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 3, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 116 | 010 | 19 | 02 | 1 | 337 |
| NJD | 04 | 07 | 27 | 04 | 0 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:40BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: David Krejci, Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.43 xG1–0
- P3 8:51NJDMiles WoodAssists: Jack Hughes · Snap, 0.19 xG1–1
- P3 13:12BOSNick RitchiePPAssists: Brad Marchand, Matt Grzelcyk · Snap, 0.27 xG2–1
- P3 13:46NJDTy SmithAssists: Matt Tennyson, Jack Hughes · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NJD Nikita Gusev stopped
- 2. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 3. NJD Jesper Boqvist stopped
- 4. BOS Ondrej Kase stopped
- 5. NJD Jack Hughes stopped
- 6. BOS Brad Marchand scored
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:14NJDJesper Boqvist: Slashing2 min
- P1 7:16BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:19BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P1 17:02NJDMiles Wood: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 2:41BOSSean Kuraly: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:56BOSCharlie McAvoy: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:53NJDAndreas Johnsson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 6:18NJDJanne Kuokkanen: Holding2 min
- P3 10:14BOSDavid Krejci: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:13NJDMiles Wood: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Ritchie – Bjork7:33
xG 0.60–0.03 (95%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Wagner – Kuraly – Frederic6:30
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Krejci – Kase – DeBrusk10:39
xG 0.62–0.36 (63%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Studnicka7:34
xG 0.14–0.74 (16%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Carlo10:23
xG 0.57–0.30 (66%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Lauzon – McAvoy11:51
xG 0.47–0.36 (56%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Miller – Zboril9:52
xG 0.23–0.46 (33%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Wood – Boqvist8:46
xG 0.93–0.31 (75%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Gusev – Johnsson – Hughes2:18
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Bastian – McLeod – Kuokkanen7:51
xG 0.24–0.51 (32%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Gusev – Johnsson – Zacha7:46
xG 0.32–0.63 (34%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Murray14:03
xG 0.96–0.63 (60%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Severson10:36
xG 0.32–0.00 (99%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Severson – Smith2:49
xG 0.17–0.03 (85%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).