Thu, Jan 14, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 218 | 012 | 240 |
| EDM | 217 | 216 | 113 | 546 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:59EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 19:59EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Kailer Yamamoto, Leon Draisaitl · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–2
- P2 3:24VANNate SchmidtAssists: Alexander Edler · Slap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 8:26EDMConnor McDavidPPGWGAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Tyson Barrie · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 10:21VANTyler MotteAssists: Travis Hamonic, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P2 15:08EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–4
- P3 11:42EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsAssists: Kailer Yamamoto · Deflected, 0.14 xG2–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:24VANTyler Motte: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 10:02EDMKailer Yamamoto: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:07EDMZack Kassian: Holding2 min
- P2 7:57VANTyler Motte: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 11:36EDMDarnell Nurse: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:51VANQuinn Hughes: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:32EDMConnor McDavid: Holding2 min
- P2 19:04EDMKailer Yamamoto: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 6:49VANNils Hoglander: Holding2 min
- P3 13:11VANAntoine Roussel: Misconduct10 min
- P3 13:11EDMJujhar Khaira: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestRoussel – Gaudette – MacEwen3:26
xG 0.49–0.12 (80%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Pearson – Horvat – Hoglander8:47
xG 0.70–0.38 (65%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Sutter – Beagle – Motte5:09
xG 0.24–0.07 (78%)attempts 10–1goals 1–0
- Motte – Boeser – Pettersson2:50
xG 0.43–0.58 (43%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Juolevi6:47
xG 0.42–0.12 (78%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Edler – Schmidt6:59
xG 0.72–0.54 (57%)attempts 18–7goals 1–1
- Edler – Hamonic3:21
xG 0.23–0.11 (66%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestKassian – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid11:18
xG 1.62–0.69 (70%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Yamamoto2:15
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Turris – Archibald – Puljujarvi7:14
xG 0.39–0.32 (55%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
- Chiasson – Shore – Khaira3:40
xG 0.05–0.30 (13%)attempts 1–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestNurse – Bear17:23
xG 2.39–1.17 (67%)attempts 26–17goals 2–0
- Larsson – Jones12:48
xG 0.71–0.59 (55%)attempts 9–17goals 0–1
- Barrie – Koekkoek10:03
xG 0.40–0.70 (36%)attempts 9–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).