Sun, Jan 17, 2021·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Florida Panthers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 07 | 111 | 112 | 230 |
| FLA | 015 | 27 | 314 | 536 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:12FLAAaron EkbladUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 5:33FLAKeith YandleAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Eetu Luostarinen · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–2
- P2 12:24CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Duncan Keith, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.16 xG1–2
- P3 2:53CHIConnor MurphyAssists: Duncan Keith, Pius Suter · Snap, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 3:15FLAEetu LuostarinenGWGAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Anton Stralman · Snap, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 5:57FLAPatric HornqvistAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Radko Gudas · Snap, 0.02 xG2–4
- P3 16:55FLAJonathan HuberdeauPPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Patric Hornqvist · Snap, 0.29 xG2–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:03CHIAlex DeBrincat: Hooking2 min
- P1 5:42FLAAnton Stralman: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:56FLAKeith Yandle: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 13:16CHIDylan Strome: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 1:42CHILucas Wallmark: Holding2 min
- P3 2:49FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:47CHIRyan Carpenter: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Kampf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKubalik – Strome – Kurashev7:41
xG 0.48–0.11 (81%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
- Shaw – Janmark – Wallmark4:16
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Suter10:49
xG 0.26–0.55 (32%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Kubalik – Suter – Kurashev2:52
xG 0.00–0.47 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Zadorov2:54
xG 0.18–0.02 (88%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Boqvist6:52
xG 0.04–0.10 (27%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
- Keith – Murphy12:26
xG 0.32–0.39 (45%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDuclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov11:40
xG 1.01–0.19 (84%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Connolly – Acciari – Lomberg7:50
xG 0.66–0.16 (81%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Vatrano – Tippett – Luostarinen8:01
xG 0.23–0.17 (58%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Huberdeau – Wennberg6:58
xG 0.18–0.17 (52%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Gudas10:00
xG 0.72–0.46 (61%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Weegar – Ekblad16:12
xG 0.34–0.19 (63%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Stralman – Forsling12:39
xG 0.44–0.42 (51%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).