Thu, Jan 21, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Boston Bruins 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 03 | 28 | 210 | 05 | 0 | 426 |
| BOS | 014 | 04 | 422 | 03 | 1 | 543 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:17PHITravis KonecnyPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Ivan Provorov · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 17:31PHIJames van RiemsdykAssists: Jakub Voracek, Kevin Hayes · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–0
- P3 0:57BOSJack StudnickaAssists: David Krejci, Nick Ritchie · Deflected, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 2:06BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Craig Smith, Kevan Miller · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–2
- P3 7:13PHITravis SanheimAssists: Jakub Voracek, Nolan Patrick · Tip-in, 0.21 xG3–2
- P3 13:22BOSNick RitchiePPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.41 xG3–3
- P3 15:18BOSBrandon CarloAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.02 xG3–4
- P3 16:28PHIJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Kevin Hayes · Deflected, 0.14 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. BOS Craig Smith stopped
- 2. PHI Jakub Voracek stopped
- 3. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 4. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
- 5. BOS Jake DeBrusk scored
- 6. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:42PHIClaude Giroux: Tripping2 min
- P1 6:57BOSSean Kuraly: Holding2 min
- P1 18:13PHINicolas Aube-Kubel: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:45BOSDavid Krejci: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:23BOSKevan Miller: Holding2 min
- P2 15:24BOSAnders Bjork: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:04PHIScott Laughton: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:24BOSSean Kuraly: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- Lindblom – Konecny – Patrick8:13
xG 0.53–0.67 (44%)attempts 9–14goals 0–2
- Giroux – van Riemsdyk – Laughton10:40
xG 0.21–0.37 (37%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Voracek – Hayes – Farabee7:51
xG 0.05–0.25 (15%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Raffl – Aube-Kubel – Bunnaman7:12
xG 0.01–0.63 (2%)attempts 2–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Hagg3:02
xG 0.12–0.01 (93%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Braun – Sanheim2:21
xG 0.01–0.02 (43%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Braun – Hagg3:16
xG 0.04–0.14 (23%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Coyle – Bjork7:07
xG 0.89–0.06 (94%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk12:01
xG 0.52–0.47 (53%)attempts 20–6goals 1–1
- Krejci – Ritchie – Studnicka10:14
xG 0.59–0.54 (52%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Wagner – Kuraly – Frederic7:50
xG 0.21–0.17 (55%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Zboril13:45
xG 1.29–0.07 (95%)attempts 21–3goals 2–0
- Miller – Grzelcyk2:09
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy3:32
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).