Fri, Jan 22, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Rangers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 014 | 37 | 011 | 02 | 1 | 334 |
| PIT | 18 | 110 | 18 | 03 | 2 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:29PITBryan RustAssists: Cody Ceci, Evgeni Malkin · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 2:41NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Phillip Di Giuseppe · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 5:18NYRAdam FoxPPAssists: Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 5:42NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Phillip Di Giuseppe, K'Andre Miller · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–1
- P2 16:56PITJared McCannPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–2
- P3 11:23PITTeddy BluegerAssists: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Kasperi Kapanen · Wrist, 0.24 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. PIT Jake Guentzel scored
- 2. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 3. PIT Sidney Crosby stopped
- 4. NYR Artemi Panarin scored
- 5. PIT Kris Letang scored
- 6. NYR Tony DeAngelo stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 10:58PITKris Letang: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:32PITJake Guentzel: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 4:16PITSidney Crosby: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 9:23NYRBrendan Lemieux: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:19NYRKevin Rooney: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 7:01PITJason Zucker: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Buchnevich – Panarin11:30
xG 0.85–0.25 (77%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Chytil – Kakko9:52
xG 0.54–0.29 (65%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Lafrenière9:20
xG 0.03–0.49 (5%)attempts 3–10goals 0–2
- Lemieux – Rooney – Howden4:49
xG 0.19–0.65 (22%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller17:46
xG 1.29–0.83 (61%)attempts 19–15goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:42
xG 0.41–0.34 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Johnson – DeAngelo12:06
xG 0.42–0.76 (36%)attempts 10–12goals 0–2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestMalkin – Zucker – Rust13:36
xG 1.19–0.48 (71%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Sceviour – Blueger – Kapanen5:35
xG 0.26–0.24 (52%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Jankowski – McCann – Tanev7:52
xG 0.05–0.05 (52%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Sceviour – Blueger – Rodrigues2:10
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLetang – Joseph2:35
xG 0.19–0.03 (88%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Ruhwedel – Joseph9:08
xG 0.56–0.41 (58%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Ceci – Marino13:56
xG 0.83–0.74 (53%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).