Sat, Jan 23, 2021·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Los Angeles Kings 2, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 05 | 210 | 08 | 223 |
| STL | 113 | 28 | 19 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:12STLTorey KrugPPAssists: David Perron, Ryan O'Reilly · Slap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 0:57LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Alex Iafallo, Matt Roy · Slap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 2:53STLVince DunnAssists: Robert Thomas, Mike Hoffman · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 7:25STLDavid PerronGWGAssists: Robert Thomas · Snap, 0.04 xG1–3
- P2 16:29LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–3
- P3 19:58STLJaden SchwartzENAssists: Brayden Schenn, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.67 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:58LAKKurtis MacDermid: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 4:05STLTorey Krug: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:26STLIvan Barbashev: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:32STLCarl Gunnarsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 15:57STLDavid Perron: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 11:20LAKMikey Anderson: Holding2 min
- P3 16:54STLTyler Bozak: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Sundqvist
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Iafallo12:10
xG 0.53–0.02 (96%)attempts 11–2goals 1–0
- Amadio – Grundstrom – Moore6:01
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Vilardi – Andersson4:55
xG 0.03–0.26 (10%)attempts 2–5goals 0–1
- Carter – Athanasiou – Lizotte4:58
xG 0.01–0.40 (1%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRoy – Clague12:23
xG 0.61–0.37 (62%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Roy – Anderson2:04
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson14:28
xG 0.07–0.31 (19%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Schwartz – Kyrou10:31
xG 0.69–0.32 (68%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Bozak – Thomas7:43
xG 0.29–0.23 (56%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Clifford – Sundqvist – Barbashev7:58
xG 0.01–0.24 (5%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Sanford9:46
xG 0.10–0.35 (23%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScandella – Faulk11:05
xG 0.81–0.42 (66%)attempts 14–10goals 1–1
- Faulk – Dunn2:55
xG 0.10–0.04 (74%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Krug – Parayko15:39
xG 0.29–0.28 (51%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).