Sun, Jan 24, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Detroit Red Wings 2, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 05 | 112 | 110 | 227 |
| CHI | 213 | 110 | 312 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:42CHIPius SuterAssists: Calvin de Haan, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–1
- P1 9:44CHIPius SuterPPAssists: Mattias Janmark, Dominik Kubalik · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–2
- P2 0:41DETTyler BertuzziPPAssists: Dylan Larkin, Filip Hronek · Tip-in, 0.31 xG1–2
- P2 17:18CHIConnor MurphyGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 0:58CHIMattias JanmarkAssists: Patrick Kane, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–4
- P3 11:39DETTyler BertuzziPPAssists: Bobby Ryan, Filip Hronek · Backhand, 0.27 xG2–4
- P3 12:28CHIPius SuterAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–5
- P3 15:55CHIPhilipp KurashevUnassisted · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:33CHIRyan Carpenter: Interference2 min
- P1 7:57DETLuke Glendening: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P1 16:36DETTroy Stecher: Holding2 min
- P1 19:12CHIDominik Kubalik: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:12CHIDavid Kampf: Interference2 min
- P3 10:25CHIDuncan Keith: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:04CHIBrandon Hagel: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suter won the faceoff against Glendening
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestBertuzzi – Larkin – Brome9:46
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 0–0
- Nielsen – Smith – Hirose4:18
xG 0.41–0.17 (71%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Filppula – Ryan – Hirose3:43
xG 0.14–0.38 (28%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Glendening – Mantha5:06
xG 0.05–0.40 (11%)attempts 3–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Staal – Stecher16:15
xG 0.34–0.49 (41%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
- Nemeth – Hronek15:01
xG 0.50–0.96 (34%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
- Djoos – DeKeyser12:01
xG 0.39–1.24 (24%)attempts 8–14goals 0–2
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestCarpenter – Hagel – Kampf8:02
xG 0.65–0.06 (91%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Suter11:43
xG 0.85–0.39 (69%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Soderberg – Shaw – Janmark9:15
xG 0.19–0.19 (50%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Strome – Kurashev10:36
xG 0.62–0.63 (50%)attempts 6–10goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Zadorov13:55
xG 0.94–0.49 (66%)attempts 14–7goals 3–0
- Keith – Boqvist11:35
xG 0.79–0.45 (64%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Keith – de Haan2:21
xG 0.26–0.03 (89%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).