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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 26, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Rangers 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

New York Rangers

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:41Shot by Irwin, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 4:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 6:28Goal by Kreider (Buchnevich)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller

  7. P1 7:33Shot by Rieder, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 11:25Shot by Kakko, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 11:38Johnson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, Miller, Olofsson, Dahlin, Cozens · NYR Johnson, DeAngelo, Howden, Kakko, Lafrenière

  10. P1 12:13Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  11. P1 12:39Shot by Olofsson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  12. P1 12:50Goal by Cozens (Staal, Ristolainen)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Staal, Skinner, Miller, Ristolainen, Cozens · NYR Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Howden, Miller

  13. P1 13:43Shot by Olofsson, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 14:24Shot by Fox, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 15:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 18:30Shot by Eichel, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 19:53Goal by Miller (Blackwell, Lemieux)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · NYR Blackwell, Strome, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Miller

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:05Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark
  21. P2 2:42Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  22. P2 3:31Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 3:48Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Georgiev
  24. P2 4:01Cozens: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar · NYR Blackwell, Trouba, Lemieux, Rooney, Miller

  25. P2 4:15Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ullmark4v5
  26. P2 6:03Goal by Rieder (Irwin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Irwin, Rieder, Montour, Cozens · NYR Trouba, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Kakko, Lafrenière

  27. P2 7:18Miller: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, McCabe, Ristolainen, Olofsson, Cozens · NYR Strome, Di Giuseppe, Trouba, Panarin, Miller

  28. P2 7:31Goal by Eichel (Olofsson, Dahlin)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NYR Johnson, Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich

  29. P2 8:43Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 8:46Shot by Blackwell, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 9:22Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 9:49Shot by Rieder, saved by Georgiev
  33. P2 10:46Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  34. P2 11:18Shot by Eichel, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 11:20Fox: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Irwin, Hall, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel · NYR Rooney, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko, Lafrenière

  36. P2 11:43Shot by Hall, saved by Georgiev5v4
  37. P2 12:08Shot by Hall, saved by Georgiev5v4
  38. P2 12:11Shot by Reinhart, saved by Georgiev5v4
  39. P2 15:43Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 16:16Kreider: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Rieder, McCabe, Ristolainen · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren

  41. P2 17:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  42. P2 18:11Shot by Hall, saved by Georgiev5v4
  43. P2 18:22Shot by McCabe, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 18:34Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 19:17Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:04Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark
  49. P3 1:26Shot by Howden, saved by Ullmark
  50. P3 1:48Shot by Kreider, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 4:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  52. P3 5:35Shot by McCabe, saved by Georgiev
  53. P3 8:37Miller: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Rieder, Miller, Dahlin · NYR Johnson, Blackwell, Strome, Zibanejad, DeAngelo, Panarin

  54. P3 9:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ullmark4v5
  55. P3 11:30Shot by Howden, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 12:16Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 12:19Shot by Kakko, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 12:45Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 12:51Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 13:58Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 18:23Hall: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Hall, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière

  62. P3 18:34Shot by Panarin, saved by Ullmark4v6
  63. P3 19:27Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Ullmark4v6
  64. P3 19:54Shot by Panarin, saved by Ullmark4v6
  65. P3 19:56Shot by Kreider, saved by Ullmark4v6
  66. P3 19:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ullmark4v6
  67. P3 0:00Final
  68. P3 0:00Period end4v6