Tue, Jan 26, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 5, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 19 | 113 | 39 | 531 |
| NJD | 09 | 29 | 18 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:03PHIJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Ivan Provorov, Jakub Voracek · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 0:59PHIJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Ivan Provorov, Claude Giroux · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 11:59NJDMichael McLeodAssists: Miles Wood, Nathan Bastian · Snap, 0.25 xG2–1
- P2 16:43NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Andreas Johnsson, Janne Kuokkanen · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 7:03PHINolan PatrickAssists: Claude Giroux, Travis Konecny · Snap, 0.20 xG3–2
- P3 12:36PHIJoel FarabeeGWGAssists: Scott Laughton, Oskar Lindblom · Snap, 0.23 xG4–2
- P3 18:24PHIIvan ProvorovENAssists: Claude Giroux · Snap, 0.51 xG5–2
- P3 18:52NJDPavel ZachaAssists: Nick Merkley, Dmitry Kulikov · Snap, 0.43 xG5–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:48PHIClaude Giroux: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:30NJDAndreas Johnsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:20NJDKyle Palmieri: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 5:11NJDP.K. Subban: Interference2 min
- P2 9:32NJDP.K. Subban: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:59NJDDamon Severson: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hughes won the faceoff against Patrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Konecny – Patrick11:08
xG 0.65–0.35 (65%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Raffl – Aube-Kubel – Bunnaman8:11
xG 0.25–0.07 (78%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Voracek – Hayes10:03
xG 0.58–0.48 (55%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Laughton – Lindblom – Farabee10:07
xG 0.89–1.21 (42%)attempts 7–10goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Provorov14:37
xG 1.22–0.41 (75%)attempts 13–10goals 2–0
- Sanheim – Friedman8:24
xG 0.94–0.30 (76%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Hagg – Sanheim2:06
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestWood – Bastian – McLeod4:33
xG 0.42–0.02 (96%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Zajac – Johnsson – Kuokkanen3:10
xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 1–0
- Zajac – Wood – Kuokkanen3:18
xG 0.05–0.03 (59%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Zacha – Merkley – Sharangovich4:40
xG 0.28–0.43 (40%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Murray10:40
xG 0.97–0.62 (61%)attempts 16–8goals 2–1
- Kulikov – Severson9:38
xG 0.46–0.38 (54%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Severson – Smith4:07
xG 0.06–0.05 (56%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).