Tue, Jan 26, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Florida Panthers 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 110 | 16 | 110 | 05 | 2 | 431 |
| CBJ | 23 | 06 | 18 | 05 | 1 | 322 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:11CBJKevin StenlundAssists: Mikko Koivu, Dean Kukan · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 9:17CBJAlexandre TexierAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Boone Jenner · Slap, 0.29 xG0–2
- P1 13:11FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Anthony Duclair, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 3:53FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Anthony Duclair · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 1:20CBJCam AtkinsonSHAssists: Nick Foligno, David Savard · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 19:57FLAPatric HornqvistAssists: Aaron Ekblad, MacKenzie Weegar · Tip-in, 0.25 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Mikko Koivu stopped
- 2. FLA Frank Vatrano stopped
- 3. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 4. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau scored
- 5. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand scored
- 6. FLA Anthony Duclair stopped
- 7. CBJ Max Domi stopped
- 8. FLA Aleksander Barkov stopped
- 9. CBJ Mikhail Grigorenko stopped
- 10. FLA Patric Hornqvist scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:50CBJNick Foligno: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:57FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Holding2 min
- P1 17:30FLAOwen Tippett: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 6:30CBJDavid Savard: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 7:03FLAAaron Ekblad: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:17CBJMikko Koivu: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:24FLARadko Gudas: High sticking2 min
- OT 2:44FLAFrank Vatrano: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Domi won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHornqvist – Huberdeau – Wennberg7:44
xG 0.47–0.09 (84%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Connolly – Hinostroza – Acciari6:25
xG 0.13–0.04 (76%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov12:07
xG 0.77–0.69 (53%)attempts 19–9goals 1–1
- Vatrano – Tippett – Luostarinen5:03
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 2–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Forsling11:14
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–1goals 1–0
- Yandle – Gudas8:09
xG 0.36–0.14 (72%)attempts 8–4goals 1–1
- Yandle – Stralman2:10
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestJenner – Bjorkstrand – Texier3:53
xG 0.31–0.20 (61%)attempts 2–4goals 1–0
- Foligno – Grigorenko – Domi2:51
xG 0.07–0.03 (71%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Jenner – Stenlund3:58
xG 0.09–0.08 (53%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Koivu – Grigorenko – Stenlund5:13
xG 0.12–0.13 (49%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Jones – Werenski13:32
xG 0.55–0.66 (45%)attempts 10–17goals 1–2
- Savard – Gavrikov14:32
xG 0.18–0.38 (32%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Kukan11:32
xG 0.24–0.53 (31%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).