Tue, Jan 26, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 18 | 17 | 04 | 01 | 220 |
| NSH | 017 | 18 | 112 | 12 | 339 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:59CHIDylan StromePPAssists: Andrew Shaw, Dominik Kubalik · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–0
- P2 4:47NSHYakov TreninAssists: Mathieu Olivier · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 11:43CHIMattias JanmarkUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P3 11:06NSHMikael GranlundAssists: Nick Cousins, Mattias Ekholm · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 1:57NSHRoman JosiGWGAssists: Mikael Granlund, Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:12NSHMark Borowiecki: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 2:18CHIDavid Kampf: Holding2 min
- P2 14:10CHICarl Soderberg: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:25NSHLuke Kunin: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:30CHIIan Mitchell: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:46CHIAndrew Shaw: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Soderberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestCarpenter – Hagel – Kampf7:25
xG 0.51–0.10 (84%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Kane – Janmark – Suter10:12
xG 0.28–0.25 (53%)attempts 3–9goals 1–0
- Soderberg – Shaw – Highmore7:25
xG 0.07–0.15 (33%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Kane – Kubalik – Strome3:36
xG 0.03–0.30 (9%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Mitchell4:10
xG 0.18–0.01 (95%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Keith – Carlsson14:08
xG 0.55–0.51 (52%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Mitchell5:13
xG 0.05–0.10 (34%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestJohansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson14:04
xG 0.45–0.22 (67%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Richardson – Trenin – Olivier8:02
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Haula – Granlund – Cousins2:38
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Duchene – Granlund – Kunin9:21
xG 0.32–0.31 (51%)attempts 14–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEkholm – Fabbro16:03
xG 0.67–0.16 (80%)attempts 21–9goals 2–0
- Josi – Ellis17:07
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 18–12goals 0–1
- Josi – Fabbro2:15
xG 0.13–0.04 (77%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).