Thu, Jan 28, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Florida Panthers 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 09 | 115 | 19 | 02 | 0 | 235 |
| CBJ | 112 | 013 | 15 | 01 | 1 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:03CBJMikko KoivuAssists: Eric Robinson, Dean Kukan · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 17:14FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Anthony Duclair · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–1
- P3 6:19CBJMax DomiPPAssists: Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 12:56FLAEetu LuostarinenAssists: Anton Stralman, Markus Nutivaara · Wrist, 0.40 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. FLA Anthony Duclair stopped
- 3. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 4. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau stopped
- 5. CBJ Max Domi stopped
- 6. FLA Frank Vatrano stopped
- 7. CBJ Alexandre Texier scored
- 8. FLA Patric Hornqvist stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 19:47FLAKeith Yandle: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 13:23FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:23CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:33CBJSeth Jones: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:02FLAAnthony Duclair: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:02CBJZach Werenski: Holding2 min
- P3 6:14FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 7:57FLAVinnie Hinostroza: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDuclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov13:27
xG 0.75–0.54 (58%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Connolly – Vatrano – Luostarinen9:35
xG 0.59–0.40 (60%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Hornqvist – Huberdeau – Acciari2:05
xG 0.03–0.08 (24%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Huberdeau – Wennberg8:28
xG 0.30–0.45 (40%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Forsling6:00
xG 0.33–0.15 (68%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Stralman – Nutivaara8:38
xG 0.54–0.38 (59%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Weegar – Ekblad18:15
xG 0.44–0.70 (38%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Bjorkstrand – Texier12:28
xG 0.44–0.15 (75%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Koivu – Nash – Robinson10:21
xG 0.45–0.20 (69%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Atkinson – Jenner – Roslovic9:04
xG 0.22–0.33 (40%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Grigorenko – Domi – Foudy10:39
xG 0.55–0.66 (45%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Gavrikov12:06
xG 0.71–0.30 (71%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski16:28
xG 0.70–0.38 (65%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Savard – Jones2:06
xG 0.03–0.09 (25%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).