Sat, Jan 30, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, New York Rangers 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 210 | 19 | 116 | 13 | 538 |
| NYR | 113 | 313 | 07 | 01 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:39PITJason ZuckerAssists: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Kasperi Kapanen · Slap, 0.29 xG1–0
- P1 13:52NYRBrendan LemieuxAssists: Phillip Di Giuseppe, Ryan Lindgren · Deflected, 0.24 xG1–1
- P1 19:20PITBrandon TanevAssists: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Teddy Blueger · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 7:20NYRKevin RooneySHAssists: K'Andre Miller, Ryan Strome · Tip-in, 0.20 xG2–2
- P2 9:42PITKasperi KapanenAssists: Evgeni Malkin · Wrist, 0.26 xG3–2
- P2 10:25NYRChris KreiderAssists: Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller · Snap, 0.34 xG3–3
- P2 16:01NYRArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Pavel Buchnevich, Tony DeAngelo · Slap, 0.16 xG3–4
- P3 9:18PITJake GuentzelAssists: Cody Ceci, John Marino · Wrist, 0.27 xG4–4
- OT 2:27PITSidney CrosbyGWGAssists: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Bryan Rust · Snap, 0.19 xG5–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:12NYRAdam Fox: Holding2 min
- P1 4:35PITPierre-Olivier Joseph: Interference2 min
- P1 7:43PITSidney Crosby: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:19PITJohn Marino: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 6:15NYRBrendan Smith: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:02PITJohn Marino: Playing without a helmet2 min · PPG
- P2 16:40NYRJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:52PITCody Ceci: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:00NYRChris Kreider: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCrosby – Rust – Guentzel11:58
xG 0.97–0.42 (70%)attempts 18–7goals 1–0
- Malkin – Zucker – Kapanen10:54
xG 0.74–0.66 (53%)attempts 8–9goals 2–1
- Blueger – McCann – Tanev7:08
xG 0.49–0.43 (54%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
- Jankowski – Lafferty – O'Connor6:56
xG 0.12–0.09 (57%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Marino9:17
xG 1.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 15–1goals 2–0
- Weber – Joseph5:12
xG 0.61–0.05 (93%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Ruhwedel – Joseph5:43
xG 0.31–0.20 (61%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Panarin – Kakko4:12
xG 0.20–0.03 (87%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Strome – Lafrenière2:20
xG 0.08–0.05 (60%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Kreider – Strome – Panarin2:49
xG 0.18–0.39 (32%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Lemieux – Rooney3:36
xG 0.07–0.32 (18%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller11:43
xG 0.38–0.10 (79%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
- Trouba – Lindgren4:18
xG 0.36–0.17 (68%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren8:45
xG 0.39–0.62 (38%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).