Tue, Feb 2, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 3, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 115 | 118 | 110 | 343 |
| LAK | 04 | 17 | 010 | 121 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:07ANADanton HeinenAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Sam Steel · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 0:17ANADavid BackesGWGAssists: Carter Rowney, Nicolas Deslauriers · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
- P2 5:32LAKArthur KaliyevAssists: Michael Amadio, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–1
- P3 19:14ANANicolas DeslauriersENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.68 xG3–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 0:03LAKKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:03ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:01ANAHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P3 3:17LAKLias Andersson: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Vilardi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSilfverberg – Heinen – Steel12:17
xG 1.12–0.27 (80%)attempts 18–6goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry10:32
xG 0.86–0.19 (82%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Backes – Deslauriers – Rowney8:44
xG 0.34–0.03 (91%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Rakell – Comtois – Lundeström10:08
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Lindholm18:09
xG 1.79–0.60 (75%)attempts 27–10goals 1–1
- Hutton – Larsson15:26
xG 1.12–0.34 (77%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Fowler – Hakanpää17:15
xG 0.84–0.27 (75%)attempts 17–5goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Amadio – Wagner4:05
xG 0.13–0.05 (71%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo7:25
xG 0.15–0.10 (60%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Moore – Andersson – Kaliyev2:34
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo3:36
xG 0.05–0.09 (36%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Doughty – Anderson19:47
xG 0.59–0.97 (38%)attempts 8–20goals 1–0
- Alt – Maatta13:40
xG 0.04–1.55 (3%)attempts 4–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).