Tue, Feb 9, 2021·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Dallas Stars 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 18 | 010 | 12 | 229 |
| DAL | 110 | 013 | 010 | 02 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:57DALRoope HintzAssists: Jason Robertson · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 14:04CHIMattias JanmarkPPAssists: Dominik Kubalik, Philipp Kurashev · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–1
- OT 2:15CHIPius SuterGWGAssists: Brandon Hagel, Kevin Lankinen · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:54DALJason Dickinson: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:21DALDenis Gurianov: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 15:36CHIPius Suter: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:49DALDenis Gurianov: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:51CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:19DALJohn Klingberg: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – DeBrincat – Suter7:56
xG 0.79–0.28 (74%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Soderberg – Hagel – Kampf3:15
xG 0.12–0.06 (66%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Strome – Hagel2:11
xG 0.04–0.01 (79%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat4:59
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – Beaudin10:33
xG 0.55–0.19 (75%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- de Haan – Bowey2:57
xG 0.16–0.08 (67%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Bowey – Carlsson2:25
xG 0.02–0.01 (70%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestHintz – Gurianov – Robertson7:46
xG 0.75–0.25 (75%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Pavelski – Benn – Kiviranta12:10
xG 0.36–0.32 (53%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Comeau – Cogliano – Dickinson2:05
xG 0.08–0.06 (57%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Comeau – Cogliano – Faksa8:53
xG 0.26–0.41 (39%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Lindell17:27
xG 0.73–0.46 (61%)attempts 26–10goals 1–0
- Pysyk – Hanley6:45
xG 0.53–0.30 (64%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Lindell – Heiskanen4:04
xG 0.03–0.23 (12%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).