Tue, Feb 9, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 4, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 212 | 09 | 111 | 08 | 1 | 440 |
| LAK | 04 | 212 | 110 | 01 | 0 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:20SJSTimo MeierAssists: Ryan Donato, Radim Simek · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 17:48SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Patrick Marleau, Nikolai Knyzhov · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 7:00LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Alex Iafallo, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–1
- P2 17:54LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.41 xG2–2
- P3 10:45LAKDustin BrownAssists: Alex Iafallo · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 19:15SJSEvander KaneAssists: Logan Couture, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.29 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 2. SJS Ryan Donato stopped
- 3. LAK Lias Andersson stopped
- 4. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 5. LAK Gabriel Vilardi stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 13:31SJSKevin Labanc: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:35LAKAustin Strand: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:07SJSTimo Meier: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:23SJSMatt Nieto: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:37SJSRyan Donato: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 4:30LAKCarl Grundstrom: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Kane – Labanc11:26
xG 1.08–0.55 (66%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Hertl – Donato – Meier10:11
xG 0.48–0.18 (72%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Marleau – Balcers – Gregor7:27
xG 0.01–0.03 (18%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Sorensen – Nieto – Gambrell8:28
xG 0.27–0.53 (33%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Knyzhov10:42
xG 0.72–0.28 (72%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro15:18
xG 0.80–0.50 (61%)attempts 16–8goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Simek13:20
xG 0.26–0.63 (30%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo9:15
xG 0.26–0.12 (67%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Wagner – Moore – Anderson-Dolan2:21
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Carter – Kempe – Vilardi4:18
xG 0.07–0.01 (86%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Anderson-Dolan6:26
xG 0.03–0.01 (73%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestClague – Anderson3:34
xG 0.06–0.01 (85%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Maatta – Strand13:39
xG 0.12–0.13 (47%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson14:45
xG 0.39–0.76 (34%)attempts 8–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).