Wed, Feb 10, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 3, New York Rangers 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 06 | 119 | 16 | 11 | 332 |
| NYR | 16 | 014 | 115 | 00 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:50NYRJulien GauthierAssists: Brendan Lemieux · Snap, 0.24 xG0–1
- P2 9:41BOSChris WagnerSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–1
- P3 9:00BOSAnders BjorkAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Kevan Miller · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–1
- P3 11:22NYRKevin RooneyAssists: Brendan Lemieux, Ryan Lindgren · Tip-in, 0.21 xG2–2
- OT 0:36BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 15:47NYRChris Kreider: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:05BOSCraig Smith: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:30NYRRyan Strome: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:17BOSChris Wagner: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:17BOSChris Wagner: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:17NYRAnthony Bitetto: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:17NYRAnthony Bitetto: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:02BOSDavid Krejci: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Smith – Ritchie9:41
xG 0.21–0.12 (64%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak14:05
xG 0.31–0.61 (33%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Coyle – Bjork – DeBrusk9:56
xG 0.83–1.15 (42%)attempts 15–10goals 1–1
- Wagner – Kuraly – Frederic7:12
xG 0.12–0.56 (18%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Zboril – McAvoy2:33
xG 0.15–0.10 (59%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo8:35
xG 0.44–0.78 (36%)attempts 8–12goals 0–2
- Lauzon – McAvoy16:56
xG 0.33–0.71 (31%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Rooney – Gauthier4:51
xG 0.43–0.09 (82%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich13:35
xG 0.54–0.26 (67%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Strome – Panarin – Kakko9:54
xG 0.32–0.34 (49%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Howden – Lafrenière4:25
xG 0.09–0.32 (22%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren19:44
xG 1.22–0.67 (65%)attempts 16–23goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller19:50
xG 0.61–0.64 (49%)attempts 16–18goals 0–1
- Bitetto – Hajek9:25
xG 0.29–0.37 (44%)attempts 7–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).