Thu, Feb 11, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 6, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 118 | 417 | 643 |
| CHI | 09 | 310 | 27 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:10CBJCam AtkinsonSHAssists: Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 0:21CHIIan MitchellAssists: David Kampf, Matthew Highmore · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–1
- P2 1:17CHINicolas BeaudinAssists: Nikita Zadorov, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 13:30CHIPius SuterAssists: Patrick Kane, Nicolas Beaudin · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–3
- P2 18:00CBJJack RoslovicPPAssists: Max Domi, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 0:29CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 6:39CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Cam Atkinson, Kevin Stenlund · Wrist, 0.37 xG3–4
- P3 7:59CBJJack RoslovicAssists: Cam Atkinson, Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–4
- P3 13:05CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Madison Bowey · Snap, 0.12 xG4–5
- P3 17:19CBJMichael Del ZottoAssists: Cam Atkinson, Andrew Peeke · Snap, 0.20 xG5–5
- P3 18:46CBJKevin StenlundGWGAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.07 xG6–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 8:50CHIPius Suter: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:30CBJKevin Stenlund: Interference2 min
- P2 17:07CHINikita Zadorov: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 19:23CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 4:54CHIMatthew Highmore: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kampf won the faceoff against Roslovic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestJenner – Grigorenko – Texier7:36
xG 0.60–0.11 (84%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Domi – Stenlund8:59
xG 0.78–0.49 (61%)attempts 13–6goals 1–2
- Foligno – Nash – Robinson9:16
xG 0.41–0.13 (76%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Roslovic – Laine13:40
xG 0.43–0.70 (38%)attempts 13–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Gavrikov18:48
xG 1.62–0.57 (74%)attempts 26–6goals 0–1
- Del Zotto – Peeke16:22
xG 0.78–0.28 (73%)attempts 18–9goals 3–1
- Savard – Harrington12:07
xG 0.26–0.67 (28%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – DeBrincat – Suter14:54
xG 0.61–0.29 (68%)attempts 12–4goals 2–0
- Highmore – Hagel – Kampf5:57
xG 0.44–0.28 (61%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Soderberg – Hagel – Kurashev2:00
xG 0.04–0.45 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Janmark – Strome4:47
xG 0.00–0.68 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBowey – Carlsson2:36
xG 0.19–0.03 (88%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- de Haan – Zadorov3:13
xG 0.18–0.05 (79%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- de Haan – Carlsson6:24
xG 0.08–0.08 (49%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).