Thu, Feb 11, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 2, Los Angeles Kings 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 110 | 17 | 014 | 231 |
| LAK | 37 | 012 | 312 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:47LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Dustin Brown · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 9:25LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Jaret Anderson-Dolan, Austin Strand · Tip-in, 0.19 xG0–2
- P1 12:42LAKAustin WagnerGWGAssists: Tobias Bjornfot · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–3
- P1 16:25SJSTomas HertlAssists: Nikolai Knyzhov, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P2 17:49SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Logan Couture, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.35 xG2–3
- P3 4:51LAKJaret Anderson-DolanAssists: Trevor Moore, Carl Grundstrom · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–4
- P3 5:58LAKAlex IafalloPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–5
- P3 6:56LAKJeff CarterPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.21 xG2–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:08SJSBrent Burns: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 3:29SJSRyan Donato: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 3:29LAKAdrian Kempe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 10:34LAKAustin Wagner: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:44SJSMario Ferraro: Interference2 min
- P2 15:44SJSRyan Donato: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 16:37LAKAdrian Kempe: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:50SJSEvander Kane: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:58SJSBrent Burns: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:58SJSTimo Meier: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Kane – Labanc12:19
xG 0.65–0.17 (79%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Leonard3:09
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Marleau – Donato – Gregor3:18
xG 0.25–0.23 (52%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Sorensen – Nieto – Gambrell8:31
xG 0.09–0.31 (22%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Simek3:49
xG 0.41–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Simek12:03
xG 0.72–0.44 (62%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov4:36
xG 0.08–0.03 (73%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGrundstrom – Moore – Anderson-Dolan10:01
xG 0.70–0.44 (61%)attempts 8–11goals 2–0
- Wagner – Luff – Andersson8:08
xG 0.09–0.06 (60%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo12:58
xG 0.26–0.37 (41%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Carter – Kempe – Vilardi12:02
xG 0.29–0.93 (24%)attempts 8–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson18:59
xG 0.64–0.58 (53%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Maatta – Strand11:54
xG 0.48–0.54 (47%)attempts 9–17goals 1–1
- Clague – Bjornfot13:21
xG 0.50–0.86 (37%)attempts 9–20goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).