Fri, Feb 12, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 1, New York Rangers 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 06 | 118 | 06 | 130 |
| NYR | 010 | 06 | 05 | 021 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:27BOSNick RitchieGWGAssists: David Krejci, Jeremy Lauzon · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
Penalties (19)
- P1 0:56BOSConnor Clifton: Delaying game2 min
- P1 6:02NYRKaapo Kakko: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:01BOSBrandon Carlo: Interference2 min
- P2 2:12BOSCharlie Coyle: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:23NYRBrendan Lemieux: Boarding2 min
- P2 6:33NYRJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:33BOSCharlie McAvoy: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:33NYRJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:28NYRBrendan Lemieux: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:28BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:41NYRBrett Howden: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:41BOSSean Kuraly: Boarding2 min
- P2 10:41BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:14NYRPavel Buchnevich: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:14BOSJeremy Lauzon: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:14BOSJeremy Lauzon: Misconduct10 min
- P3 1:38NYRJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P3 4:31BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:58BOSCharlie McAvoy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Smith – Ritchie7:33
xG 0.62–0.15 (81%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Wagner – Kuraly – Frederic4:47
xG 0.38–0.32 (54%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak8:57
xG 0.27–0.33 (45%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Coyle – Bjork – DeBrusk5:41
xG 0.08–0.22 (26%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Zboril9:11
xG 0.60–0.23 (73%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Lauzon – McAvoy8:50
xG 0.47–0.24 (66%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Miller – McAvoy2:43
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Rooney – Gauthier4:52
xG 0.41–0.17 (70%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Di Giuseppe – Howden4:34
xG 0.22–0.01 (96%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko3:58
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Strome – Lafrenière2:26
xG 0.07–0.05 (59%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren13:09
xG 0.83–0.29 (74%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller13:02
xG 0.49–0.41 (55%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Bitetto – Hajek10:49
xG 0.54–0.50 (52%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).