Tue, Apr 6, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 5, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 18 | 315 | 111 | 534 |
| SJS | 013 | 110 | 012 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:55ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Danton Heinen, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 0:24ANAMaxime ComtoisPPGWGAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Sam Carrick · Tip-in, 0.22 xG2–0
- P2 1:29SJSPatrick MarleauPPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 2:44ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Josh Manson, David Backes · Wrist, 0.24 xG3–1
- P2 15:19ANANicolas DeslauriersAssists: Troy Terry, Ben Hutton · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–1
- P3 12:47ANADavid BackesENAssists: Nicolas Deslauriers, Derek Grant · Wrist, 0.70 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:51SJSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:51ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:05SJSKevin Labanc: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P2 0:49ANAJosh Manson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:27ANAMax Jones: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:51ANAJamie Drysdale: Holding2 min
- P3 16:59ANADerek Grant: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Silfverberg – Heinen11:16
xG 0.60–0.43 (58%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Backes – Grant – Deslauriers8:40
xG 0.43–0.40 (52%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Comtois – Volkov – Lundeström10:12
xG 0.33–0.46 (42%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Carrick – Terry – Jones7:44
xG 0.29–0.85 (25%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Hakanpää15:03
xG 1.11–0.74 (60%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Hutton16:20
xG 0.87–0.65 (57%)attempts 20–13goals 1–0
- Manson – Drysdale15:54
xG 0.45–1.04 (30%)attempts 7–16goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Balcers11:46
xG 0.99–0.53 (65%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Donato – Gambrell – Leonard9:15
xG 0.33–0.06 (84%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Marleau – Gregor – Viel5:27
xG 0.49–0.72 (41%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Couture – Kane – Labanc13:50
xG 0.31–0.98 (24%)attempts 6–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJaros – Simek9:22
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Knyzhov17:45
xG 1.16–1.16 (50%)attempts 15–18goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro15:58
xG 0.56–1.15 (33%)attempts 11–17goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).