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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 16, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 68% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 3:37Shot by McCabe, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 4:26Shot by Pelech, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 4:43Goal by Lee (Dobson, Bailey)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Irwin, Rieder, Jokiharju · NYI Greene, Bailey, Lee, Barzal, Dobson

  6. P1 4:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 4:58Sheahan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, McCabe, Borgen, Asplund, Thompson · NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson

  8. P1 5:03Shot by Bailey, saved by Hutton4v5
  9. P1 5:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Sorokin4v5
  10. P1 6:15Shot by Barzal, saved by Hutton4v5
  11. P1 6:31Shot by Pulock, saved by Hutton4v5
  12. P1 7:32Pelech: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Dahlin · NYI Greene, Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pageau, Pelech

  13. P1 8:15Shot by Olofsson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  14. P1 10:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 11:39Shot by Dal Colle, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 11:58Goal by Pageau (Pulock, Leddy)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Staal, Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Dahlin · NYI Leddy, Pageau, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  17. P1 12:21Shot by Hall, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 14:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 15:05Shot by Greene, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 15:40Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 17:56Shot by Borgen, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 18:42Shot by Eberle, saved by Hutton
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:59Shot by Okposo, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 4:09Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Hutton
  27. P2 4:31Shot by Eberle, saved by Hutton
  28. P2 6:28Shot by Eakin, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 6:46Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 8:00Hall: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Dahlin · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Nelson, Mayfield, Dal Colle

  31. P2 12:32Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 12:49Shot by Eberle, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 19:41Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Hutton
  34. P2 0:00Period end
  35. P3 0:00Period start
  36. P3 0:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin
  37. P3 2:03Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton
  38. P3 2:20Shot by Greene, saved by Hutton
  39. P3 4:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Hutton
  40. P3 4:24Shot by Olofsson, saved by Sorokin
  41. P3 5:29Shot by Martin, saved by Hutton
  42. P3 7:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sorokin
  43. P3 7:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Sorokin
  44. P3 7:49Shot by Olofsson, saved by Sorokin
  45. P3 8:29Shot by Okposo, saved by Sorokin
  46. P3 9:00Shot by Asplund, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 10:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sorokin
  48. P3 10:41Shot by Lee, saved by Hutton
  49. P3 10:56Shot by Nelson, saved by Hutton
  50. P3 10:57Shot by Mayfield, saved by Hutton
  51. P3 12:24Pelech: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Staal, Hall, McCabe, Reinhart, Borgen · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock

  52. P3 13:18Shot by Pageau, saved by Hutton5v4
  53. P3 19:59Goal by Lee (Bailey, Pageau)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech

  54. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  55. P3 0:00Final