Thu, Apr 22, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Philadelphia Flyers 3, New York Rangers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 011 | 114 | 211 | 336 |
| NYR | 114 | 011 | 110 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:55NYRBrendan SmithAssists: K'Andre Miller, Filip Chytil · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 15:56PHIJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Travis Konecny, Ivan Provorov · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 10:29PHIJames van RiemsdykPPAssists: Ivan Provorov, Kevin Hayes · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–1
- P3 14:07PHIJakub VoracekGWGAssists: Sean Couturier, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–1
- P3 18:00NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Adam Fox, Mika Zibanejad · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:50PHIPhilippe Myers: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:47NYRBrendan Smith: Interference2 min
- P1 15:29PHIJakub Voracek: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:12NYRChris Kreider: Holding2 min
- P2 8:55PHITravis Konecny: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:45NYRBrendan Smith: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:43NYRAdam Fox: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:05NYRLibor Hajek: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 8:14NYRK'Andre Miller: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Laughton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHayes – Allison – Farabee8:57
xG 0.77–0.44 (64%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Couturier12:12
xG 0.85–0.63 (58%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Laughton – Konecny7:16
xG 0.08–0.28 (22%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Aube-Kubel – Lindblom – Patrick8:03
xG 0.15–0.46 (25%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHagg – Sanheim10:06
xG 0.52–0.11 (82%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Braun – Provorov13:13
xG 0.87–0.74 (54%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
- Braun – Sanheim2:25
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Chytil – Kakko7:24
xG 0.43–0.20 (68%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Rooney – Howden – Kravtsov5:50
xG 0.26–0.05 (83%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Strome – Panarin10:44
xG 0.28–0.74 (28%)attempts 6–17goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Buchnevich – Lafrenière8:51
xG 0.35–0.99 (26%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren8:45
xG 0.40–0.02 (96%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Fox – Hajek4:51
xG 0.43–0.20 (68%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Smith – Miller13:08
xG 0.67–0.58 (53%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).