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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 72% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 0:44Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 1:59Shot by Komarov, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 4:24Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 4:27Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 5:13Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 7:43Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 8:30Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 9:15Shot by Jankowski, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 11:17Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 11:43Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 13:05Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 13:13Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 13:17Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 14:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:48Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 15:51Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 15:52Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 19:05Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:18Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 1:44Shot by Bailey, saved by Jarry
  26. P2 2:18Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 3:10Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 5:59Shot by Lafferty, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 7:30Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 8:01Shot by Pettersson, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 9:35Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  32. P2 10:02Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 11:48Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry
  34. P2 12:02Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 12:23Beauvillier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Joseph · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier

  36. P2 12:32Shot by Crosby, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 12:35Goal by Letang (Malkin, Crosby)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock

  38. P2 13:46Shot by Ceci, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 14:37Shot by Guentzel, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 15:28Goal by Eberle (Beauvillier)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rust, Matheson, Joseph · NYI Greene, Eberle, Barzal, Beauvillier, Dobson

  41. P2 17:38Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 19:11Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:27Shot by Marino, saved by Varlamov
  46. P3 0:53Goal by Nelson (Mayfield)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Joseph · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier

  47. P3 2:18Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  48. P3 2:40Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  49. P3 3:33Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 5:35Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 6:54Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  52. P3 7:35Goal by Matheson (Blueger, Lafferty)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Blueger, Lafferty, Marino, Aston-Reese · NYI Greene, Eberle, Lee, Barzal, Dobson

  53. P3 13:34Goal by Letang (Crosby, Guentzel)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Ceci, Guentzel, Tanev · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Pelech, Barzal

  54. P3 14:08Zucker: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Ceci · NYI Bailey, Nelson, Pelech, Beauvillier, Dobson

  55. P3 14:57Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v5
  56. P3 15:58Shot by Leddy, saved by Jarry4v5
  57. P3 16:48Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 17:16Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 17:35Shot by Pageau, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 18:26Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry5v6
  61. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  62. P3 0:00Final