Fri, Feb 26, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 2, New York Rangers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 06 | 116 | 111 | 233 |
| NYR | 19 | 315 | 210 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:16NYRPhillip Di GiuseppeAssists: Julien Gauthier, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 2:32NYRRyan StromeAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.11 xG0–2
- P2 4:02BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 18:52NYRColin BlackwellPPGWGAssists: Adam Fox, Ryan Strome · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–3
- P2 19:04NYRChris KreiderAssists: Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–4
- P3 1:45NYRPavel BuchnevichAssists: Adam Fox, Ryan Lindgren · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–5
- P3 3:43NYRJonny BrodzinskiAssists: Kevin Rooney, Brendan Smith · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–6
- P3 7:51BOSBrad MarchandAssists: David Pastrnak, Jakub Zboril · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 15:27NYRK'Andre Miller: Holding2 min
- P2 0:06NYRKevin Rooney: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:54BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:23NYRBrendan Lemieux: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:19BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:42BOSNick Ritchie: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:51NYRJack Johnson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:51BOSTrent Frederic: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:59BOSJakub Zboril: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak8:57
xG 0.56–0.57 (50%)attempts 11–6goals 2–1
- Wagner – Kuraly – Bjork7:46
xG 0.13–0.31 (30%)attempts 4–7goals 0–2
- DeBrusk – Frederic – Studnicka8:45
xG 0.24–0.72 (25%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Ritchie7:43
xG 0.01–0.90 (1%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- McAvoy – Vaakanainen14:10
xG 0.42–0.37 (53%)attempts 10–13goals 1–2
- Moore – Clifton13:12
xG 0.35–0.63 (36%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
- Zboril – Carlo11:03
xG 0.55–1.16 (32%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Buchnevich – Lafrenière7:16
xG 0.48–0.06 (89%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Gauthier – Howden7:44
xG 0.45–0.08 (85%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Kreider – Blackwell – Strome7:41
xG 0.57–0.43 (57%)attempts 5–10goals 1–1
- Brodzinski – Lemieux – Rooney9:51
xG 0.42–0.48 (46%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Miller12:04
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren12:31
xG 0.94–0.66 (59%)attempts 13–16goals 2–1
- Johnson – Hajek15:50
xG 0.56–0.52 (52%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).