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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 4, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Detroit Red Wings 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 51% of the time.

CAR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Aho, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Necas, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 2:29Shot by Hronek, saved by Nedeljkovic
  5. P1 2:55Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 3:04Shot by Teravainen, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 4:15Shot by Zadina, saved by Nedeljkovic
  8. P1 4:30Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  9. P1 10:17Shot by Zadina, saved by Nedeljkovic
  10. P1 10:54Goal by Zadina (Namestnikov, Gagner)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Hamilton, Fleury, Necas · DET Gagner, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Hronek, Zadina

  11. P1 11:08Erne: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Martinook, Slavin, Paquette, Pesce, Foegele · DET Nemeth, Djoos, Erne, Rasmussen, Brome

  12. P1 11:15Goal by Svechnikov (Hamilton, Staal)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Trocheck, Hamilton, Aho, Svechnikov · DET Staal, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Glendening

  13. P1 12:06Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic
  14. P1 14:22Shot by Merrill, saved by Nedeljkovic
  15. P1 15:35Shot by Hronek, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 15:49Teravainen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov · DET Gagner, Nemeth, Mantha, Fabbri, Hronek

  17. P1 15:59Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  18. P1 16:08Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier4v5
  19. P1 16:47Shot by Aho, saved by Bernier4v5
  20. P1 17:51Shot by Zadina, saved by Nedeljkovic
  21. P1 18:27Shot by Helm, saved by Nedeljkovic
  22. P1 19:34Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:17Shot by McGinn, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 0:31Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin · DET Ryan, DeKeyser, Mantha, Fabbri, Hronek

  27. P2 4:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Nedeljkovic
  28. P2 6:05Pesce: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Paquette, Foegele, Bean · DET Gagner, Glendening, Djoos, Mantha, Svechnikov, Zadina

  29. P2 6:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  30. P2 6:37Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  31. P2 6:39Shot by Ryan, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  32. P2 6:40Shot by Gagner, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  33. P2 7:35Goal by Zadina (Erne, Svechnikov)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Fleury, Aho · DET Erne, Svechnikov, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina

  34. P2 8:11Shot by Necas, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 8:32Shot by Ryan, saved by Nedeljkovic
  36. P2 11:03Svechnikov: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, McGinn, Aho, Bean · DET Staal, Helm, Merrill, Glendening, Svechnikov

  37. P2 11:46Shot by Aho, saved by Bernier5v4
  38. P2 11:56Shot by Aho, saved by Bernier5v4
  39. P2 12:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Bernier5v4
  40. P2 13:02Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bernier5v4
  41. P2 13:07Shot by Bean, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 13:20Shot by Hronek, saved by Nedeljkovic
  43. P2 14:19Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 14:44Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic
  45. P2 15:15Shot by Erne, saved by Nedeljkovic
  46. P2 15:17Shot by Zadina, saved by Nedeljkovic
  47. P2 15:18Shot by Erne, saved by Nedeljkovic
  48. P2 16:30Shot by Paquette, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 17:42Shot by Helm, saved by Nedeljkovic
  50. P2 18:45Goal by Necas (Niederreiter, Trocheck)+28 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Necas · DET Nemeth, Djoos, Erne, Rasmussen, Brome

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:27Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 0:45Goal by Staal (Fast, Hamilton)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Hamilton, Slavin, Svechnikov · DET Ryan, DeKeyser, Mantha, Fabbri, Hronek

  55. P3 1:53Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 1:59Shot by Bean, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 2:50Goal by Fast (Svechnikov, Staal)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Hamilton, Slavin, Svechnikov · DET Helm, Djoos, Erne, Hronek, Brome

  58. P3 2:54Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 3:46Shot by Teravainen, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 3:54Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic
  61. P3 4:53Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 5:03Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 5:12Shot by Glendening, saved by Nedeljkovic
  64. P3 6:31Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  65. P3 6:50Shot by Slavin, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 8:40Shot by Pesce, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 8:55Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  68. P3 10:40Shot by Erne, saved by Nedeljkovic
  69. P3 11:40Shot by McGinn, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 14:55Goal by Niederreiter (Necas, Trocheck)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Slavin, Fleury, Necas · DET Gagner, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Mantha, Hronek, Zadina

  71. P3 15:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 16:46Trocheck: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Necas · DET Helm, Merrill, Glendening, Erne, Hronek

  73. P3 16:55Shot by Djoos, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  74. P3 17:35Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  75. P3 17:47Shot by Hronek, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  76. P3 18:20Shot by Erne, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  77. P3 18:22Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  78. P3 19:37Shot by Merrill, saved by Nedeljkovic
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final