Mon, Apr 5, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 110 | 013 | 15 | 14 | 332 |
| BOS | 17 | 111 | 010 | 01 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:15PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Claude Giroux, Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 17:33BOSKarson KuhlmanAssists: Charlie Coyle · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 0:46BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Matt Grzelcyk · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–2
- P3 6:56PHISean CouturierPPAssists: Ivan Provorov, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 3:08PHITravis SanheimGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.24 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 19:18PHIShayne Gostisbehere: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 2:44BOSJeremy Lauzon: Holding2 min
- P2 5:46BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:20PHIJustin Braun: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:21BOSJeremy Lauzon: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestRaffl – Aube-Kubel – Laczynski2:20
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Konecny9:14
xG 0.36–0.43 (46%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
- Hayes – Laughton – Patrick8:32
xG 0.14–0.42 (25%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Couturier – Farabee10:00
xG 0.38–0.66 (37%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Provorov2:06
xG 0.18–0.01 (96%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Myers3:31
xG 0.04–0.15 (21%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Myers13:12
xG 0.18–0.33 (35%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith10:02
xG 0.93–0.10 (91%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Senyshyn – Frederic3:08
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Frederic – Kuhlman2:21
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Coyle – Senyshyn – DeBrusk3:02
xG 0.03–0.06 (32%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy14:13
xG 1.11–0.34 (76%)attempts 19–9goals 0–0
- Clifton – Lauzon14:18
xG 0.13–0.28 (32%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Kampfer – Zboril16:06
xG 0.46–0.93 (33%)attempts 14–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).