Mon, Mar 8, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 5, Anaheim Ducks 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 18 | 28 | 29 | 01 | 526 |
| ANA | 25 | 312 | 06 | 12 | 625 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:45ANAKevin ShattenkirkAssists: Isac Lundeström · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 9:45LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Blake Lizotte, Trevor Moore · Slap, 0.30 xG1–1
- P1 16:46ANARickard RakellAssists: Maxime Comtois, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 1:01LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Carl Grundstrom · Slap, 0.23 xG2–2
- P2 8:30ANABen HuttonAssists: Maxime Comtois, Rickard Rakell · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–3
- P2 14:04ANAJakob SilfverbergSHAssists: Adam Henrique, Jacob Larsson · Backhand, 0.17 xG2–4
- P2 16:28LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.06 xG3–4
- P2 18:15ANARickard RakellAssists: Maxime Comtois · Backhand, 0.13 xG3–5
- P3 1:18LAKAndreas AthanasiouUnassisted · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–5
- P3 17:28LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Drew Doughty, Matt Roy · Tip-in, 0.12 xG5–5
- OT 3:00ANAAdam HenriqueGWGAssists: Trevor Zegras, Kevin Shattenkirk · Tip-in, 0.16 xG5–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:39ANATrevor Zegras: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:54ANAIsac Lundeström: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 9:45LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:25ANAJosh Manson: Holding2 min
- P2 16:08ANANicolas Deslauriers: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo10:54
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 0–0
- Kempe – Moore – Lizotte9:00
xG 0.19–0.08 (71%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Luff – Kupari4:08
xG 0.03–0.26 (9%)attempts 1–6goals 0–1
- Carter – Athanasiou – Vilardi9:17
xG 0.06–0.53 (9%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Walker2:02
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Doughty – Roy2:21
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson17:01
xG 0.14–0.18 (44%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Terry – Comtois5:04
xG 0.29–0.13 (68%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Silfverberg – Comtois5:38
xG 0.23–0.14 (63%)attempts 7–3goals 0–1
- Rakell – Jones – Lundeström5:39
xG 0.16–0.21 (44%)attempts 6–2goals 1–1
- Grant – Jones – Lundeström3:28
xG 0.05–0.10 (34%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Hutton12:55
xG 1.10–0.76 (59%)attempts 16–14goals 3–2
- Shattenkirk – Larsson2:36
xG 0.10–0.03 (79%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Fowler – Larsson2:56
xG 0.06–0.09 (39%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).