Fri, Mar 12, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
San Jose Sharks 6, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 15 | 111 | 411 | 627 |
| ANA | 011 | 016 | 07 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:57SJSTomas HertlPPGWGAssists: Brent Burns, Timo Meier · Slap, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 0:37SJSEvander KaneAssists: Brent Burns, Kevin Labanc · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–0
- P3 5:58SJSErik KarlssonPPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.08 xG3–0
- P3 8:03SJSTimo MeierAssists: Matt Nieto, Tomas Hertl · Snap, 0.11 xG4–0
- P3 9:16SJSKevin LabancAssists: Evander Kane, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–0
- P3 15:03SJSFredrik HandemarkUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG6–0
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:59ANAJakob Silfverberg: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:35ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:35SJSKurtis Gabriel: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:34SJSRadim Simek: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:53ANAIsac Lundeström: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestNieto – Hertl – Meier12:50
xG 0.65–0.38 (63%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Marleau – Gabriel – Handemark8:34
xG 0.48–0.30 (62%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Donato – Gambrell – Leonard11:14
xG 0.19–0.29 (39%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Labanc13:30
xG 0.63–0.81 (44%)attempts 10–14goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Knyzhov9:19
xG 0.22–0.09 (70%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Simek4:48
xG 0.18–0.35 (34%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Simek10:29
xG 0.50–0.70 (42%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Rakell – Comtois13:01
xG 1.10–0.77 (59%)attempts 14–13goals 0–1
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Zegras11:26
xG 0.25–0.05 (83%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Steel – Jones – Lundeström7:11
xG 0.24–0.18 (57%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
- Deslauriers – Lettieri – Lundeström2:28
xG 0.05–0.20 (18%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Hakanpää18:54
xG 1.45–0.86 (63%)attempts 22–11goals 0–2
- Shattenkirk – Mahura17:15
xG 0.52–0.49 (52%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Hutton – Larsson14:11
xG 0.64–1.02 (39%)attempts 15–17goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).