Sun, Mar 14, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Dallas Stars 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 112 | 011 | 09 | 03 | 1 | 235 |
| CBJ | 08 | 09 | 18 | 05 | 0 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:28DALJoe PavelskiAssists: Joel Kiviranta, Rhett Gardner · Snap, 0.26 xG1–0
- P3 6:49CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Seth Jones, Jack Roslovic · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. DAL Jason Robertson stopped
- 3. CBJ Patrik Laine stopped
- 4. DAL Joe Pavelski stopped
- 5. CBJ Max Domi stopped
- 6. DAL Alexander Radulov scored
Penalties (2)
- P1 18:36DALJamie Benn: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:08CBJMax Domi: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Faksa
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Gardner – Kiviranta6:59
xG 0.38–0.11 (78%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Comeau – Cogliano – Dickinson2:24
xG 0.32–0.05 (86%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Comeau – Cogliano – Faksa8:09
xG 0.11–0.13 (46%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Benn – Dickinson – Gurianov8:16
xG 0.07–0.17 (29%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Hanley3:11
xG 0.18–0.03 (84%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Sekera – Hanley10:11
xG 0.06–0.01 (82%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Oleksiak3:56
xG 0.09–0.07 (59%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Domi – Roslovic10:29
xG 0.71–0.23 (75%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Foligno – Bjorkstrand – Laine7:09
xG 0.42–0.10 (81%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Roslovic – Laine2:17
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Nash – Stenlund – Robinson3:25
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Kukan12:27
xG 0.37–0.17 (69%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski20:48
xG 0.58–0.52 (53%)attempts 22–18goals 1–0
- Savard – Gavrikov17:09
xG 0.51–0.56 (48%)attempts 14–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).