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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 18, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakKrejci–Smith–DeBruskCoyle–Ritchie–SteenMcKegg–Frederic–KuhlmanMcKegg–Steen–KuhlmanMcKegg–DeBrusk–KuhlmanCoyle–DeBrusk–SteenKrejci–Marchand–PastrnakKrejci–Smith–RitchieSmith–Coyle–DeBruskClifton–ZborilGrzelcyk–McAvoyKampfer–AhcanMcAvoy–AhcanKampfer–ZborilZboril–McAvoy
Staal–Reinhart–Olofsson0:400.00–0.000:550.00–0.063:260.34–0.201:190.08–0.001:040.00–0.000:330.00–0.005:020.40–0.193:120.13–0.070:340.11–0.001:340.01–0.040:300.00–0.00
Okposo–Eakin–Rieder5:370.01–0.381:030.00–0.000:470.04–0.042:300.09–0.293:340.08–0.343:240.05–0.04
Skinner–Lazar–Mittelstadt3:000.27–0.101:430.05–0.061:120.00–0.010:440.04–0.002:160.00–0.081:170.00–0.014:310.38–0.08
Sheahan–Hall–Thompson3:060.00–0.090:410.03–0.240:490.00–0.120:340.00–0.001:540.03–0.244:050.00–0.19
Sheahan–Hall–Reinhart0:420.00–0.010:390.21–0.000:360.00–0.000:360.20–0.000:420.00–0.01
Staal–Olofsson–Thompson1:110.03–0.000:570.01–0.000:300.03–0.00
Miller–Dahlin1:410.00–0.013:000.22–0.062:020.05–0.111:500.00–0.012:160.03–0.000:420.00–0.050:460.00–0.006:320.03–0.192:550.01–0.014:230.29–0.021:330.01–0.000:350.00–0.01
Irwin–Montour3:340.00–0.133:150.30–0.262:360.00–0.100:450.00–0.003:020.12–0.233:480.01–0.064:360.39–0.120:380.00–0.070:350.00–0.00
Ristolainen–Bryson4:490.01–0.340:400.00–0.091:350.39–0.001:290.08–0.120:340.00–0.003:060.39–0.085:490.09–0.470:440.04–0.030:340.00–0.00
Montour–Dahlin0:570.11–0.00
Miller–Ristolainen0:440.04–0.000:440.04–0.00
Montour–Bryson0:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHall FSheahan FThompson FStaal FReinhart FOlofsson FLazar FMittelstadt FSkinner FRieder FEakin FOkposo FRistolainen DBryson DDahlin DMiller DIrwin DMontour DHutton GBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FSmith FKrejci FDeBrusk FRitchie FCoyle FSteen FFrederic FMcKegg FKuhlman FGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DZboril DClifton DKampfer DAhcan DHalak G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS2823:070:501:5727
Rasmus DahlinBUF2222:171:011:5942
Brandon MontourBUF2521:160:511:3243
Matt GrzelcykBOS2421:020:532:0736
David PastrnakBOS2020:571:031:5442
Colin MillerBUF2020:141:011:5342
Patrice BergeronBOS2420:130:511:5445
Brad MarchandBOS2319:380:511:5445
Jake DeBruskBOS2719:200:431:2133
Matt IrwinBUF2219:030:521:2717
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2418:420:471:2935
Jakub ZborilBOS2218:040:491:1601
Jack AhcanBOS2517:550:431:1644
Charlie CoyleBOS2217:500:491:3504
Sam ReinhartBUF2016:520:511:5931
Nick RitchieBOS2016:490:501:2932
David KrejciBOS2116:490:481:3030
Curtis LazarBUF2316:390:431:2016
Jacob BrysonBUF2516:190:391:2934
Steven KampferBOS2216:080:441:2334
Connor CliftonBOS2116:040:461:2202
Eric StaalBUF2115:570:461:1640
Riley SheahanBUF2515:350:371:2655
Tobias RiederBUF2115:160:441:0625
Victor OlofssonBUF2015:150:461:5930
Cody EakinBUF2314:130:371:0643
Oskar SteenBOS2314:000:371:1303
Jeff SkinnerBUF1613:490:521:2722
Craig SmithBOS2113:330:391:0140
Taylor HallBUF1913:200:421:3791
Casey MittelstadtBUF1512:590:521:3721
Kyle OkposoBUF1911:510:371:0533
Tage ThompsonBUF1710:580:391:2681
Karson KuhlmanBOS1510:550:441:1905
Greg McKeggBOS1710:200:361:1206
Trent FredericBOS65:280:551:4504