Wed, Mar 24, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 2, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 116 | 115 | 244 |
| SJS | 06 | 212 | 210 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:14SJSRudolfs BalcersAssists: Marcus Sorensen, Dylan Gambrell · Slap, 0.26 xG0–1
- P2 13:39SJSEvander KaneAssists: Brent Burns, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 19:47LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Dustin Brown, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 0:21SJSEvander KaneGWGAssists: Mario Ferraro, Brent Burns · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 1:43SJSTomas HertlAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Radim Simek · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–4
- P3 4:27LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Drew Doughty, Gabriel Vilardi · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:14SJSMarcus Sorensen: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 9:38LAKKurtis MacDermid: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:30SJSLogan Couture: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:47LAKJaret Anderson-Dolan: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:05LAKJeff Carter: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo15:33
xG 1.57–0.65 (71%)attempts 27–11goals 1–2
- Carter – Athanasiou – Kempe5:12
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Athanasiou – Kempe – Vilardi2:05
xG 0.48–0.27 (64%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Carter – Moore – Anderson-Dolan3:38
xG 0.25–0.05 (82%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson18:04
xG 1.73–0.96 (64%)attempts 27–17goals 2–2
- Roy – Bjornfot14:51
xG 0.91–0.19 (83%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
- Roy – Anderson2:39
xG 0.16–0.08 (67%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Hertl – Meier12:13
xG 0.61–0.38 (62%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Donato – Suomela – Leonard5:59
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Sorensen – Balcers – Gambrell11:00
xG 0.62–0.96 (40%)attempts 9–16goals 1–1
- Couture – Kane – Labanc13:44
xG 0.72–1.13 (39%)attempts 13–17goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Simek11:56
xG 1.07–0.57 (65%)attempts 14–16goals 2–0
- Burns – Ferraro19:19
xG 0.91–1.32 (41%)attempts 17–24goals 2–1
- Karlsson – Knyzhov12:40
xG 0.31–0.96 (25%)attempts 8–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).