Tue, Mar 30, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 4, Boston Bruins 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 211 | 212 | 09 | 03 | 0 | 435 |
| BOS | 112 | 113 | 219 | 04 | 2 | 548 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:28NJDMiles WoodAssists: P.K. Subban · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 5:55BOSNick RitchieAssists: David Krejci, Craig Smith · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P1 9:34NJDMichael McLeodAssists: Jesper Boqvist, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 3:45NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Jesper Bratt, Ryan Murray · Snap, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 15:48BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–2
- P2 17:06NJDKyle PalmieriUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–2
- P3 10:22BOSCharlie McAvoyAssists: Craig Smith, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–3
- P3 16:00BOSMatt GrzelcykAssists: Craig Smith, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. NJD Pavel Zacha stopped
- 2. BOS Charlie Coyle scored
- 3. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 4. BOS David Pastrnak scored
Penalties (7)
- P2 9:20BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:59BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:59NJDJesper Bratt: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:07NJDP.K. Subban: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 13:43NJDDamon Severson: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:18BOSPatrice Bergeron: Hooking2 min
- OT 2:39BOSCharlie McAvoy: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestWood – Zacha – Merkley9:23
xG 0.45–0.15 (75%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Johnsson – McLeod – Boqvist8:24
xG 0.43–0.31 (58%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Palmieri – Kuokkanen – Hughes10:18
xG 0.45–0.45 (50%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Zajac – Bratt – Sharangovich12:43
xG 0.29–0.70 (29%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestVatanen – Murray13:16
xG 0.83–0.51 (62%)attempts 17–12goals 3–0
- Severson – Smith16:02
xG 0.79–0.80 (50%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
- Subban – Kulikov16:18
xG 0.35–0.88 (28%)attempts 7–22goals 1–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Smith – Ritchie8:27
xG 0.69–0.00 (100%)attempts 16–2goals 2–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith4:30
xG 0.42–0.20 (68%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Coyle – Bjork – Senyshyn8:01
xG 0.46–0.42 (52%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak8:53
xG 0.36–0.35 (50%)attempts 12–5goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy5:36
xG 0.58–0.15 (79%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo11:34
xG 0.78–0.40 (66%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Clifton – Zboril10:04
xG 0.27–0.14 (65%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).