Fri, Apr 2, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 3, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 19 | 113 | 114 | 336 |
| LAK | 07 | 014 | 09 | 030 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:57SJSTomas HertlGWGAssists: Nikolai Knyzhov, Rudolfs Balcers · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 9:00SJSTimo MeierAssists: Tomas Hertl, Rudolfs Balcers · Slap, 0.12 xG2–0
- P3 19:33SJSRudolfs BalcersENAssists: Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.62 xG3–0
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:43LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:20LAKMikey Anderson: Holding2 min
- P2 4:18SJSTomas Hertl: Holding2 min
- P2 9:00LAKAustin Wagner: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 13:12SJSErik Karlsson: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Balcers12:32
xG 1.54–0.33 (82%)attempts 23–6goals 2–0
- Marleau – Sorensen – Viel4:59
xG 0.40–0.10 (80%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Labanc10:49
xG 0.60–0.32 (65%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
- Donato – Gambrell – Leonard8:16
xG 0.36–0.66 (35%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro17:42
xG 1.16–0.60 (66%)attempts 23–20goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Simek12:42
xG 0.57–0.27 (67%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov15:02
xG 0.99–1.03 (49%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestAthanasiou – Kempe – Anderson-Dolan3:14
xG 0.48–0.09 (84%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Wagner – Andersson – Lizotte6:45
xG 0.11–0.14 (44%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Brown – Anderson-Dolan – Iafallo4:59
xG 0.20–0.34 (38%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Carter – Moore – Vilardi9:03
xG 0.53–0.72 (42%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Walker – Strand10:01
xG 0.70–0.70 (50%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Doughty – Roy2:35
xG 0.11–0.15 (41%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Roy – Walker7:28
xG 0.26–0.54 (32%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).