Sat, Apr 3, 2021·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Philadelphia Flyers 2, New York Islanders 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 010 | 011 | 211 | 00 | 0 | 232 |
| NYI | 13 | 17 | 011 | 03 | 1 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:01NYIAnthony BeauvillierPPAssists: Matt Martin, Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.23 xG0–1
- P2 15:40NYIAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Mathew Barzal · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P3 6:38PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Travis Konecny, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 10:32PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Jakub Voracek, Travis Konecny · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NYI Jordan Eberle stopped
- 2. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 3. NYI Anthony Beauvillier stopped
- 4. PHI Nolan Patrick stopped
- 5. NYI Oliver Wahlstrom stopped
- 6. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 7. NYI Mathew Barzal scored
- 8. PHI Jakub Voracek stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:47NYIRoss Johnston: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:47PHISamuel Morin: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:32PHISamuel Morin: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 13:03PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:10NYICal Clutterbuck: Interference2 min
- P1 16:06NYICasey Cizikas: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:27NYICal Clutterbuck: Elbowing2 min
- P3 2:56PHIIvan Provorov: Interference2 min
- P3 7:53PHIIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:45PHITravis Sanheim: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pageau won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHayes – Laughton – Patrick8:56
xG 0.86–0.29 (75%)attempts 14–1goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Konecny8:18
xG 0.32–0.23 (59%)attempts 11–4goals 2–0
- Aube-Kubel – Lindblom – Laczynski5:04
xG 0.10–0.48 (17%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Couturier – Farabee9:01
xG 0.17–0.87 (16%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Sanheim2:15
xG 0.38–0.29 (57%)attempts 7–1goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Myers2:22
xG 0.12–0.10 (56%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Provorov2:23
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestClutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas5:53
xG 0.76–0.17 (82%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Komarov – Clutterbuck – Cizikas2:43
xG 0.31–0.14 (69%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Martin – Pageau – Wahlstrom2:33
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
- Komarov – Eberle – Barzal7:23
xG 0.23–0.29 (44%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPelech – Pulock13:22
xG 1.21–0.07 (94%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Leddy – Mayfield13:25
xG 0.36–0.33 (52%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
- Greene – Pelech2:05
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).