Sun, Apr 4, 2021·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 08 | 011 | 013 | 032 |
| FLA | 011 | 113 | 211 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:52FLAAleksander BarkovGWGAssists: Patric Hornqvist, MacKenzie Weegar · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 8:00FLAFrank VatranoUnassisted · Snap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P3 12:20FLAGustav ForslingAssists: Aleksander Barkov, MacKenzie Weegar · Snap, 0.04 xG0–3
Penalties (4)
- P2 19:49FLACarter Verhaeghe: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:04CBJAlexandre Texier: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P3 15:24FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:43FLAMason Marchment: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Acciari won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNash – Grigorenko – Roslovic3:21
xG 0.09–0.03 (76%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Domi – Laine – Robinson6:30
xG 0.30–0.41 (42%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Texier – Foudy8:03
xG 0.13–0.41 (24%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
- Grigorenko – Domi – Laine3:13
xG 0.05–0.40 (11%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Gavrikov15:21
xG 0.75–0.63 (54%)attempts 16–22goals 0–2
- Del Zotto – Lehtonen12:21
xG 0.27–0.76 (27%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski19:08
xG 0.39–0.97 (29%)attempts 18–14goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestVatrano – Acciari – Tippett7:40
xG 0.65–0.15 (81%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Marchment13:13
xG 0.95–0.61 (61%)attempts 21–9goals 1–0
- Hornqvist – Huberdeau – Wennberg11:56
xG 0.41–0.19 (68%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Lammikko – Vatrano – Acciari3:16
xG 0.19–0.11 (63%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Kiersted9:31
xG 0.85–0.37 (70%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Yandle – Gudas6:07
xG 0.55–0.16 (77%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Gudas – Stillman3:16
xG 0.23–0.08 (74%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).