Fri, Apr 9, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 2, San Jose Sharks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 113 | 011 | 110 | 234 |
| SJS | 311 | 08 | 210 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:27LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Dustin Brown, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 8:01SJSKevin LabancAssists: Brent Burns, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 13:50SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Brent Burns, Marcus Sorensen · Deflected, 0.17 xG1–2
- P1 17:17SJSRudolfs BalcersGWGAssists: Timo Meier, Erik Karlsson · Backhand, 0.20 xG1–3
- P3 1:02LAKJaret Anderson-DolanUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 17:00SJSDylan GambrellSHAssists: Evander Kane, Brent Burns · Slap, 0.32 xG2–4
- P3 18:41SJSTomas HertlENAssists: Evander Kane, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.53 xG2–5
Penalties (14)
- P1 3:03LAKAlex Iafallo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 5:31SJSChristian Jaros: Holding2 min
- P2 9:19LAKKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:19SJSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:19SJSJeffrey Viel: Interference2 min
- P2 9:19LAKKurtis MacDermid: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 10:14LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P2 15:01LAKMikey Anderson: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:38LAKAndreas Athanasiou: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:38SJSMarcus Sorensen: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:53SJSBrent Burns: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:55SJSTomas Hertl: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:00SJSMarcus Sorensen: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:00LAKAndreas Athanasiou: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Athanasiou – Lizotte5:17
xG 0.72–0.30 (71%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo11:00
xG 0.50–0.22 (70%)attempts 7–6goals 1–1
- Kempe – Lemieux – Wagner2:30
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Anderson-Dolan7:22
xG 0.27–0.60 (31%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:30
xG 0.90–0.73 (55%)attempts 12–12goals 0–2
- Doughty – Clague2:04
xG 0.24–0.13 (64%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Wolanin – Walker11:48
xG 0.51–0.62 (45%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Balcers12:46
xG 2.29–0.57 (80%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Couture – Kane – Labanc11:15
xG 0.58–0.22 (72%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Donato – Gambrell – Leonard7:46
xG 0.54–0.59 (48%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Marleau – Sorensen – Viel5:40
xG 0.21–0.54 (28%)attempts 2–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Knyzhov14:33
xG 1.24–1.12 (53%)attempts 16–15goals 1–1
- Jaros – Simek10:41
xG 0.17–0.26 (39%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro15:59
xG 0.74–0.94 (44%)attempts 12–15goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).