Sat, Apr 10, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 4, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 16 | 313 | 07 | 426 |
| SJS | 112 | 04 | 112 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:43LAKJeff CarterAssists: Andreas Athanasiou, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–0
- P1 16:54SJSDylan GambrellAssists: John Leonard, Christian Jaros · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–1
- P2 2:28LAKAndreas AthanasiouAssists: Jeff Carter, Olli Maatta · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 3:23LAKAlex IafalloGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Dustin Brown · Backhand, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 19:52LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–1
- P3 12:31SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Ryan Donato · Wrist, 0.26 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 9:05LAKJeff Carter: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:15LAKDustin Brown: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:23LAKSean Walker: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 9:03LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:58SJSMario Ferraro: Holding2 min
- P2 14:01SJSEvander Kane: Interference2 min
- P2 17:59SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:38SJSJeffrey Viel: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:17LAKOlli Maatta: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 17:30SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Athanasiou – Lizotte6:42
xG 0.56–0.12 (83%)attempts 6–7goals 2–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo11:23
xG 0.44–0.20 (68%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Wagner – Vilardi7:02
xG 0.22–0.22 (50%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Kempe – Moore – Anderson-Dolan8:07
xG 0.18–0.35 (34%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson14:30
xG 0.98–0.12 (89%)attempts 19–9goals 2–0
- Wolanin – Walker11:19
xG 0.24–0.22 (52%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Maatta – Clague10:29
xG 0.29–0.49 (37%)attempts 6–15goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSorensen – Gambrell – Leonard2:01
xG 0.35–0.01 (97%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Couture – Kane – Labanc10:09
xG 0.30–0.17 (63%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Balcers9:41
xG 0.36–0.28 (57%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Marleau – Sorensen – Viel5:22
xG 0.03–0.35 (8%)attempts 1–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Burns – Karlsson2:10
xG 0.03–0.05 (37%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Jaros – Simek8:19
xG 0.50–0.62 (45%)attempts 12–6goals 1–2
- Burns – Ferraro13:36
xG 0.19–0.43 (31%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).