Mon, Apr 12, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 4, San Jose Sharks 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 313 | 03 | 15 | 421 |
| SJS | 014 | 017 | 015 | 046 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:59ANAMaxime ComtoisGWGAssists: Derek Grant, Josh Manson · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 8:12ANAAlexander VolkovAssists: Sam Carrick, Nicolas Deslauriers · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P1 12:19ANAAlexander VolkovAssists: Adam Henrique, Jacob Larsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–0
- P3 3:26ANARickard RakellAssists: Andrew Agozzino, Maxime Comtois · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:45SJSRyan Donato: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 9:19ANAJamie Drysdale: Holding2 min
- P2 0:52ANAMax Jones: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:34ANANicolas Deslauriers: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:07ANAJacob Larsson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:18ANAJosh Manson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:26SJSPatrick Marleau: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gambrell won the faceoff against Carrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestAgozzino – Rakell – Comtois3:30
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Heinen7:16
xG 0.47–0.31 (60%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Agozzino – Volkov4:23
xG 0.10–0.04 (71%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Carrick – Rakell – Comtois2:24
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Welinski13:59
xG 0.73–0.31 (70%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Larsson14:35
xG 0.19–0.64 (23%)attempts 5–13goals 1–0
- Manson – Drysdale12:58
xG 0.62–1.95 (24%)attempts 11–26goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Gambrell – Leonard7:15
xG 0.68–0.24 (74%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Marleau – Sorensen – Viel6:18
xG 0.19–0.14 (59%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Labanc11:55
xG 0.76–0.71 (52%)attempts 16–11goals 0–1
- Hertl – Meier – Balcers9:33
xG 0.48–0.47 (50%)attempts 8–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro12:35
xG 0.74–0.25 (74%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov14:44
xG 0.90–0.56 (62%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Burns – Simek2:37
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).