Tue, Apr 13, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 3, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 18 | 04 | 28 | 320 |
| NJD | 010 | 08 | 09 | 027 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:02NYRMika ZibanejadGWGAssists: Pavel Buchnevich, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.15 xG1–0
- P3 7:50NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Filip Chytil, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P3 19:32NYRPavel BuchnevichENUnassisted · Snap, 0.64 xG3–0
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:27NYRChris Kreider: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:27NJDDamon Severson: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:19NYRBrendan Smith: Interference2 min
- P2 5:42NYRBrendan Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:42NJDMichael McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:41NYRRyan Lindgren: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestRooney – Howden – Kravtsov8:56
xG 0.56–0.06 (90%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Strome – Panarin8:50
xG 0.32–0.32 (50%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich13:49
xG 0.31–0.43 (42%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Rooney – Howden2:47
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Hajek14:25
xG 0.71–0.20 (78%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren16:02
xG 0.53–0.30 (64%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Trouba – Miller18:27
xG 0.62–1.15 (35%)attempts 11–18goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMaltsev – Boqvist – Thompson6:24
xG 0.32–0.06 (84%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Kuokkanen – Sharangovich – Hughes15:37
xG 0.59–0.33 (64%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
- Johnsson – Merkley – McLeod10:03
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Wood – Bratt – Hischier13:38
xG 0.39–0.82 (32%)attempts 6–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Severson14:27
xG 0.46–0.36 (56%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Butcher – Siegenthaler13:29
xG 0.50–0.43 (54%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
- Subban – Smith17:46
xG 0.81–0.85 (49%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).