Wed, Apr 14, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vegas Golden Knights 6, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 38 | 112 | 212 | 632 |
| LAK | 112 | 17 | 03 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:18VGKTomas NosekAssists: Alec Martinez, Shea Theodore · Snap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 11:04VGKAlex TuchAssists: Mattias Janmark, Tomas Nosek · Snap, 0.03 xG2–0
- P1 13:38LAKTrevor MoorePPAssists: Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P1 15:25VGKMax PaciorettyGWGAssists: Mark Stone · Backhand, 0.00 xG3–1
- P2 15:47VGKChandler StephensonAssists: Max Pacioretty, Zach Whitecloud · Wrist, 0.14 xG4–1
- P2 18:22LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–2
- P3 5:28VGKMark StoneAssists: Max Pacioretty · Snap, 0.17 xG5–2
- P3 10:53VGKAlex PietrangeloAssists: Alex Tuch, Tomas Nosek · Wrist, 0.03 xG6–2
Penalties (2)
- P1 1:50LAKCarl Grundstrom: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:16VGKBrayden McNabb: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestJurco – Carrier – Roy10:53
xG 1.20–0.06 (95%)attempts 17–3goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Stone – Stephenson11:17
xG 0.54–0.09 (86%)attempts 10–9goals 3–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault12:22
xG 0.90–0.57 (61%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Janmark – Nosek – Tuch14:01
xG 0.66–0.46 (59%)attempts 12–15goals 3–0
Defence pairs
- bestHague – Whitecloud18:59
xG 1.75–0.82 (68%)attempts 22–20goals 0–0
- Martinez – Theodore10:53
xG 0.48–0.08 (86%)attempts 13–6goals 2–0
- McNabb – Theodore6:30
xG 0.31–0.15 (68%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo12:27
xG 0.37–0.15 (72%)attempts 15–6goals 0–1
- Kempe – Moore – Vilardi2:29
xG 0.32–0.13 (70%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Kempe – Moore – Anderson-Dolan6:48
xG 0.27–0.77 (26%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
- Athanasiou – Grundstrom – Lizotte11:34
xG 0.34–1.03 (25%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Doughty – Anderson20:11
xG 0.59–0.55 (52%)attempts 19–11goals 1–2
- Clague – Anderson2:27
xG 0.02–0.27 (6%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Maatta – Walker16:58
xG 0.93–1.49 (38%)attempts 22–22goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).