Wed, Apr 14, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 4, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 111 | 29 | 17 | 427 |
| SJS | 06 | 011 | 111 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:08ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Troy Terry · Snap, 0.23 xG1–0
- P2 2:29ANADerek GrantGWGAssists: Josh Manson, Alexander Volkov · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–0
- P2 13:40ANAAlexander VolkovAssists: Maxime Comtois, Derek Grant · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–0
- P3 17:44SJSErik KarlssonAssists: Timo Meier, Brent Burns · Slap, 0.05 xG3–1
- P3 19:30ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Cam Fowler · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 10:48SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:27SJSNikolai Knyzhov: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:54ANAHaydn Fleury: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:22ANACam Fowler: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:41SJSLogan Couture: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:30SJSDylan Gambrell: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:30ANAJosh Manson: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:14SJSRadim Simek: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:14ANATroy Terry: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:04ANADerek Grant: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:59ANAMaxime Comtois: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:59SJSRadim Simek: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:40SJSEvander Kane: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestRakell – Steel – Comtois6:35
xG 0.41–0.16 (72%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Terry – Jones7:01
xG 0.42–0.21 (67%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Volkov9:38
xG 0.41–0.35 (54%)attempts 5–7goals 1–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Heinen7:32
xG 0.15–0.18 (45%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Welinski12:46
xG 0.79–0.58 (58%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Manson – Drysdale9:18
xG 0.32–0.18 (64%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Fleury8:16
xG 0.24–0.12 (67%)attempts 14–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Kane – Hertl2:26
xG 0.33–0.03 (91%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Balcers6:57
xG 0.57–0.41 (58%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Marleau – Gregor – Handemark5:26
xG 0.17–0.18 (48%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Hertl – Labanc – Meier6:04
xG 0.13–0.50 (21%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Knyzhov9:49
xG 0.66–0.08 (89%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Burns – Simek2:11
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Burns – Knyzhov2:31
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).