Sun, Apr 18, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 5, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 26 | 113 | 27 | 526 |
| NJD | 012 | 19 | 29 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:31NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 14:03NYRVitali KravtsovAssists: Brett Howden · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 5:17NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Filip Chytil, Kaapo Kakko · Tip-in, 0.16 xG3–0
- P2 18:55NJDMikhail MaltsevAssists: Yegor Sharangovich, P.K. Subban · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
- P3 1:53NJDMarián StudenicAssists: Mikhail Maltsev, Andreas Johnsson · Snap, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 5:30NJDNico HischierAssists: Nick Merkley, Nolan Foote · Snap, 0.12 xG3–3
- P3 17:00NYRMika ZibanejadPPGWGAssists: Ryan Strome, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 19:35NYRRyan StromeENAssists: Colin Blackwell, Artemi Panarin · Other, 0.71 xG5–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:23NJDNico Hischier: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 16:36NYRKevin Rooney: Interference2 min
- P2 10:25NJDMarián Studenic: Cross checking2 min
- P2 14:19NJDJack Hughes: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:19NJDJack Hughes: Misconduct10 min
- P3 7:37NJDMarián Studenic: Holding2 min
- P3 15:50NJDRyan Murray: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McLeod won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Strome – Panarin10:21
xG 0.70–0.23 (75%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Rooney – Howden – Kravtsov6:52
xG 0.37–0.14 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Chytil – Kakko – Lafrenière5:43
xG 0.48–0.54 (47%)attempts 7–10goals 1–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich10:30
xG 0.18–0.35 (34%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller15:50
xG 0.97–0.45 (69%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Smith – Bitetto9:14
xG 0.51–0.63 (44%)attempts 7–12goals 2–1
- Fox – Lindgren17:06
xG 0.32–0.53 (38%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestKuokkanen – Sharangovich – Hughes10:36
xG 0.62–0.20 (76%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Johnsson – Hischier – Studenic6:35
xG 0.36–0.28 (57%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Merkley – Maltsev – Foote3:38
xG 0.16–0.23 (41%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
- Wood – Bastian – McLeod9:26
xG 0.09–0.66 (12%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTennyson – Siegenthaler7:01
xG 0.70–0.48 (59%)attempts 12–8goals 1–2
- Subban – Murray2:41
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Severson – Smith2:56
xG 0.14–0.13 (51%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).