Sun, Apr 18, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vegas Golden Knights 5, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 26 | 214 | 19 | 529 |
| ANA | 112 | 111 | 012 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25VGKMax PaciorettyAssists: Alec Martinez, Mark Stone · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 6:23ANAMaxime ComtoisAssists: Josh Manson, Rickard Rakell · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 14:46VGKAlex PietrangeloAssists: Max Pacioretty, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 2:43VGKNicolas RoyGWGAssists: William Carrier, Zach Whitecloud · Slap, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 14:06ANADanton HeinenAssists: Adam Henrique, Jakob Silfverberg · Slap, 0.05 xG3–2
- P2 18:13VGKMark StonePPAssists: Shea Theodore, Marc-Andre Fleury · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–2
- P3 18:33VGKAlex TuchENAssists: Nicolas Roy, Tomas Nosek · Wrist, 0.63 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:43VGKAlex Tuch: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:00VGKChandler Stephenson: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:48ANAMax Jones: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:55ANAMaxime Comtois: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 18:28ANAMaxime Comtois: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:32VGKNicolas Roy: Holding2 min
- P3 11:17VGKAlex Pietrangelo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Henrique won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestPacioretty – Stone – Stephenson11:48
xG 0.75–0.32 (70%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
- Janmark – Nosek – Tuch8:50
xG 0.53–0.31 (63%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault8:44
xG 0.18–0.37 (33%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Jurco – Carrier – Roy7:01
xG 0.16–0.36 (31%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- McNabb – Theodore12:48
xG 0.33–0.44 (43%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Hague – Whitecloud13:40
xG 0.46–0.65 (41%)attempts 9–13goals 1–1
- Martinez – Pietrangelo14:10
xG 0.38–0.66 (37%)attempts 12–18goals 2–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestRakell – Steel – Comtois9:44
xG 1.11–0.17 (86%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Volkov6:55
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Grant – Deslauriers – Jones3:26
xG 0.00–0.03 (5%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Heinen8:39
xG 0.21–0.40 (35%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Fleury15:59
xG 0.64–0.29 (69%)attempts 20–10goals 1–0
- Manson – Drysdale14:15
xG 0.75–0.72 (51%)attempts 13–14goals 0–1
- Fowler – Larsson10:07
xG 0.34–0.45 (43%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).