Mon, Apr 19, 2021·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Florida Panthers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 014 | 19 | 113 | 236 |
| FLA | 112 | 219 | 18 | 439 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:40FLAFrank VatranoUnassisted · Snap, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 0:59FLASam BennettAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Anthony Duclair · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 13:22CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Cam Atkinson, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 14:03FLARadko GudasGWGAssists: Anthony Duclair, Gustav Forsling · Slap, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 8:01CBJZac DalpeAssists: Eric Robinson, Andrew Peeke · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 18:38FLAFrank VatranoENAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Patric Hornqvist · Wrist, 0.61 xG2–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 7:36FLAAleksander Barkov: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:38CBJAlexandre Texier: Holding2 min
- P2 12:27CBJGavin Bayreuther: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:27CBJGavin Bayreuther: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:27FLASam Bennett: Instigator2 min
- P2 12:27FLASam Bennett: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:27FLASam Bennett: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 14:03CBJJack Roslovic: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 15:27FLANikita Gusev: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:30CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 18:38FLAPatric Hornqvist: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:38CBJPatrik Laine: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDalpe – Stenlund – Robinson7:58
xG 0.76–0.43 (64%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
- MacInnis – Sherwood – Dunne6:10
xG 0.18–0.03 (86%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic12:48
xG 0.22–0.95 (19%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
- Matteau – Laine – Texier11:27
xG 0.16–1.16 (12%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Bayreuther13:15
xG 0.96–0.57 (63%)attempts 18–15goals 1–0
- Del Zotto – Jones19:07
xG 0.38–1.03 (27%)attempts 16–16goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Lehtonen11:46
xG 0.36–1.10 (25%)attempts 9–14goals 0–2
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestGusev – Barkov – Marchment12:30
xG 0.98–0.28 (78%)attempts 17–10goals 0–1
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Bennett8:09
xG 0.66–0.22 (75%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Lammikko3:18
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Hornqvist – Wennberg – Vatrano9:41
xG 0.53–0.64 (46%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Forsling14:35
xG 1.23–0.32 (80%)attempts 16–12goals 1–0
- Yandle – Gudas10:39
xG 0.37–0.09 (80%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Montour – Nutivaara15:57
xG 0.74–0.55 (57%)attempts 11–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).