Mon, Apr 19, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
San Jose Sharks 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 111 | 17 | 011 | 02 | 0 | 231 |
| VGK | 011 | 114 | 110 | 05 | 1 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:27SJSNikolai KnyzhovUnassisted · Snap, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 0:29SJSNoah GregorUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 1:22VGKMark StonePPAssists: Shea Theodore, Max Pacioretty · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–1
- P3 3:29VGKMark StonePPAssists: Max Pacioretty, Shea Theodore · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SJS Patrick Marleau stopped
- 2. VGK Alex Tuch scored
- 3. SJS Ryan Donato stopped
- 4. VGK Chandler Stephenson stopped
- 5. SJS Logan Couture stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:10SJSRudolfs Balcers: Interference2 min
- P1 9:41SJSJoel Kellman: Interference2 min
- P2 0:44SJSRudolfs Balcers: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:15VGKChandler Stephenson: Holding2 min
- P3 3:22SJSNikolai Knyzhov: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:56SJSRadim Simek: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:45VGKMattias Janmark: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Hertl – Balcers10:17
xG 0.53–0.27 (66%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Donato – Leonard – Kellman5:14
xG 0.24–0.59 (29%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Couture – Kane – Gregor10:44
xG 0.34–0.73 (32%)attempts 7–16goals 1–0
- Labanc – Meier – Gambrell11:36
xG 0.22–0.66 (25%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Simek10:10
xG 0.55–0.66 (45%)attempts 10–19goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro17:03
xG 0.39–0.65 (38%)attempts 12–18goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Knyzhov17:35
xG 0.48–1.40 (26%)attempts 20–19goals 1–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestJanmark – Carrier – Roy6:21
xG 0.94–0.13 (88%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Janmark5:42
xG 0.46–0.12 (79%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Tuch6:26
xG 0.37–0.14 (73%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Stone – Stephenson13:52
xG 0.66–0.54 (55%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Pietrangelo8:54
xG 1.24–0.68 (64%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Martinez – Whitecloud2:09
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Theodore7:34
xG 0.39–0.37 (51%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).