Tue, Apr 20, 2021·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 111 | 015 | 08 | 134 |
| FLA | 210 | 313 | 010 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:52FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Nikita Gusev, Mason Marchment · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 7:06FLASam BennettGWGAssists: Anthony Duclair, Jonathan Huberdeau · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–2
- P1 16:16CBJJack RoslovicPPAssists: Cam Atkinson, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–2
- P2 7:04FLASam BennettAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Anthony Duclair · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–3
- P2 15:42FLARyan LombergAssists: Frank Vatrano, Markus Nutivaara · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–4
- P2 16:38FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Anthony Duclair, Radko Gudas · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 15:55FLAAnthony Duclair: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 16:49CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Elbowing2 min
- P2 7:06CBJKole Sherwood: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:06FLARyan Lomberg: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:50CBJStefan Matteau: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDalpe – Stenlund – Robinson7:24
xG 0.30–0.09 (76%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Stenlund – Laine2:17
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Matteau – Texier – Robinson2:22
xG 0.04–0.20 (18%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic10:53
xG 0.31–0.62 (33%)attempts 10–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Kukan – Bayreuther15:46
xG 0.35–0.33 (51%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Del Zotto – Jones15:47
xG 0.79–1.09 (42%)attempts 17–12goals 0–3
- Gavrikov – Lehtonen18:33
xG 0.10–1.22 (8%)attempts 7–22goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Duclair – Bennett14:06
xG 1.11–0.22 (83%)attempts 12–14goals 3–0
- Wennberg – Vatrano – Lomberg4:28
xG 0.35–0.05 (88%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Gusev – Barkov – Marchment4:15
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Wennberg – Vatrano – Tippett4:46
xG 0.09–0.02 (84%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Forsling11:45
xG 0.64–0.19 (77%)attempts 9–8goals 2–0
- Montour – Nutivaara12:17
xG 0.89–0.54 (62%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Nutivaara – Kiersted2:21
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).